The No. 14 Louisville Cardinals (24-6, 17-2 ACC) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to extend a 10-game home winning streak when they host the Stanford Cardinal (19-11, 11-8 ACC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 2 p.m. ET. The matchup’s over/under is set at 146.5.
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Louisville Cover -10.5 vs Stanford -110
Louisville vs. Stanford betting lines
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: -637
- Stanford moneyline odds to win: +460
- Spread: Louisville (-10.5)
- Total: 146.5
Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Louisville has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 16 games when playing at home, and it has covered nine times in 11 games when playing on the road.
- In home games, the Cardinals go over the total 31.2% of the time (five of 16 games). They hit the over more often on the road, eclipsing the total in 45.5% of games (five of 11).
- As a moneyline favorite, Louisville has picked up the win in 13 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .867 winning percentage. It has won six of seven games away from home (.857) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Cardinals have increased their production slightly over their last 10 games, scoring 80.4 points per contest over that span compared to the 79.7 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Louisville’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (68.1) is 1.1 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (69.2).
- While the Cardinals are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (9.7 per game) compared to their season-long average (9.8), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (38% from deep over the last 10, 33.5% on the season).
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 18-12-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 14-11-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 10-20-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-4 (Home: 13-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.6 (132nd in nation) | 42.8 (116th) | 35.1 (39th) | 30.1 (110th) | 14.3 (125th) | 11 (162nd) |
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Stanford statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Stanford has been better at home (11-7-0) than on the road (3-7-0).
- Cardinal games have finished above the over/under less often at home (seven times out of 18) than away (five of 10) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Cardinal are posting 73.7 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, amassing 67.1 points per contest.
- Stanford is surrendering 70.9 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 0.5 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.4).
- Over their last 10 games, the Cardinal are making 7.3 three-pointers per game, 0.9 fewer threes than their season average (8.2). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.5%) compared to their season average (33.5%).
Stanford betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-16-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 11-9-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-11-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-4 (Home: 16-2; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.5 (256th in nation) | 44.5 (222nd) | 31.3 (214th) | 29.2 (70th) | 13.8 (161st) | 10 (62nd) |

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