Xavier vs. Providence betting: College basketball preview for March 8

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Xavier Musketeers (20-10, 12-7 Big East) are heavily favored (-11.5) to build on a six-game win streak when they host the Providence Friars (12-18, 6-13 Big East) at 4 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Cintas Center. The game airs on Fox Sports 1. The matchup has a point total of 150.5.

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Xavier Cover -11.5 vs Providence -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Xavier vs. Providence betting lines

  • Xavier moneyline odds to win: -781
  • Providence moneyline odds to win: +538
  • Spread: Xavier (-11.5)
  • Total: 150.5

Xavier statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Xavier has played better when playing at home, covering 10 times in 16 home games, and six times in 12 road games.
  • In home games, the Musketeers exceed the total 43.8% of the time (seven of 16 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, topping the total in 66.7% of games (eight of 12).
  • In 14 home games as a moneyline favorite, Xavier has 14 wins (1.000). It sports the same winning percentage (4-0 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Musketeers have increased their output a little bit over their last 10 games, scoring 79.4 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 77.8 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
  • Xavier has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 72.5 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 70.4 it has conceded this year.
  • While the Musketeers are hitting the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings when compared to their season-long average (8.2), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (39.4% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 38.6% on the season).

Xavier betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-13-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 6-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 13-6-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-0 (Home: 14-0; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.5 (90th in nation) 44.1 (199th) 30.4 (279th) 30 (106th) 16.8 (21st) 10.6 (119th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Xavier vs. Providence? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Providence statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Providence has been better against the spread on the road (5-5-0) than at home (7-9-0) this year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Friars games have gone over seven of 16 times at home (43.8%), and six of 10 on the road (60%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Friars have won a higher percentage of games at home (3-5) than on the road (1-7).

Recent trends

  • While the Friars are putting up 71.5 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their previous 10 games, amassing 70.6 points per contest.
  • Providence is ceding 78 points per contest over its last 10 games, which is 5.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (72.3).
  • Over their previous 10 games, the Friars are sinking 9.9 three-pointers per contest, 0.7 more than their season average (9.2). They also own a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (38.8%) compared to their season average (35.7%).

Providence betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-9-0; As Underdog: 10-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-13-1 (Home: 7-8-1; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-4 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-14 (Home: 3-5; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.2 (215th in nation) 43.1 (133rd) 33.2 (105th) 29.7 (91st) 12.7 (251st) 11.7 (235th)
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