UCLA vs. USC betting: College basketball preview for March 8

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The USC Trojans (15-15, 7-12 Big Ten) are 9.5-point underdogs as they try to break a five-game road losing streak when they take on the UCLA Bruins (21-9, 12-7 Big Ten) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at Pauley Pavilion. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on FOX. The matchup’s over/under is set at 142.5.

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UCLA Cover -9.5 vs USC -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

UCLA vs. USC betting lines

  • UCLA moneyline odds to win: -488
  • USC moneyline odds to win: +368
  • Spread: UCLA (-9.5)
  • Total: 142.5

UCLA statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UCLA has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (11-5-0) than it has in road games (5-4-1).
  • The Bruins have gone over the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in five of 16 home matchups (31.2%). On the road, they have hit the over in seven of 10 games (70%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, UCLA has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.875) compared to away games (.800).

Recent trends

  • The Bruins have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 72.0 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.4 points fewer than the 74.4 they’ve scored this season.
  • UCLA has been more porous on defense lately, giving up 66.4 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 65.1 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
  • Over their past 10 outings, the Bruins are making 0.4 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.6 compared to 7.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (37.1% compared to 35.1% season-long).

UCLA betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-11-1 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 5-4-1)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 7-3-0 (As Favorite: 14-8-1; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 5-11-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-5 (Home: 14-2; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-4)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.7 (76th in nation) 42.8 (118th) 30.0 (297th) 28.2 (33rd) 16.1 (39th) 10.1 (69th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on UCLA vs. USC? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

USC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • USC’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .421 (8-11-0). On the road, it is .444 (4-5-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Trojans games have gone over less frequently at home (13 of 19, 68.4%) than away (seven of nine, 77.8%).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Trojans have won a lower percentage of games at home (1-4) than on the road (3-6).

Recent trends

  • The Trojans are scoring 76.6 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer points than their average for the season (76.9).
  • USC is ceding 78.0 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 74.5 points allowed.
  • In their last 10 games, the Trojans are draining 8.2 threes per game, 1.1 more than their season average (7.1). They also have a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (41.0%) compared to their season average (37.0%).

USC betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-18-0 (Home: 8-11-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 5-11-0)
  • O-U-P: 21-8-1 (Home: 13-6-0; Away: 7-1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 11-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-12 (Home: 1-4; Away: 3-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.4 (27th in nation) 45.6 (273rd) 28.6 (335th) 29.0 (60th) 15.6 (60th) 11.4 (208th)
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