The No. 10 seed Mississippi State Bulldogs (20-11, 8-10 SEC) are 9.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 15 seed LSU Tigers (14-17, 3-15 SEC) in the SEC Tournament Wednesday at Bridgestone Arena, tipping off at 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network. The over/under is set at 145.5 in the matchup.
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Mississippi State Cover -9.5 vs LSU -104
Mississippi State vs. LSU betting lines
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -452
- LSU moneyline odds to win: +345
- Spread: Mississippi State (-9.5)
- Total: 145.5
Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been racking up 77.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Mississippi State’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has given up 82.2 points per game over its last 10 compared to the 74.2 points per game its opponents average this season.
- The Bulldogs are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.8 threes per game and shooting 29.5% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 31.3% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-17-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-14-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 18-13-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 7-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-7 (Home: 10-5; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.2 (152nd in nation) | 43.9 (187th) | 35.6 (27th) | 32.7 (280th) | 15.3 (68th) | 10.2 (83rd) |
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LSU statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- While the Tigers are scoring 74.2 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, tallying 66.2 points per contest.
- LSU has fared worse defensively in its previous 10 games, surrendering 75.5 points per contest, 2.5 more points than its season average of 73.0.
- The Tigers are draining 8.7 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (7.9). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.4%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (30.9%).
LSU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-17-1 (Home: 9-9-0; Away: 3-6-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 2-6-1 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 6-13-1)
- O-U-P: 15-16-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-0 (Home: 10-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-17 (Home: 1-7; Away: 2-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (183rd in nation) | 42.2 (85th) | 32.5 (150th) | 34.2 (334th) | 12.9 (231st) | 12.2 (275th) |
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