The San Diego State Aztecs (21-9) are 4.5-point underdogs to advance to the Round of 64 of the NCAA Tournament bracket in their First Four matchup against the North Carolina Tar Heels (22-13) on Tuesday at UD Arena, starting at 9:10 p.m. ET, airing on truTV. The matchup has a point total of 142.5.
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North Carolina Cover -4.5 vs San Diego State -110
North Carolina vs. San Diego State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -210
- San Diego State moneyline odds to win: +173
- Spread: North Carolina (-4.5)
- Total: 142.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, putting up 82.9 points per contest compared to the 80.8 they’ve averaged this season.
- North Carolina has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 70.9 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 75 it has conceded per game this year.
- The Tar Heels’ past 10 outings have seen them make 9.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 42.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 7.9 makes and 35.3%.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-20-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 4-8-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 11-11-0 (As Favorite: 12-13-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 18-17-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 21-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (40th in nation) | 43.2 (135th) | 33.3 (100th) | 31.2 (188th) | 14.6 (100th) | 10.6 (129th) |
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San Diego State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Aztecs are scoring 69.4 points per game in their last 10 games, which is 1.5 fewer points than their average for the season (70.9).
- While San Diego State is ceding 63.6 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 65.1 points per contest.
- The Aztecs are making 7.5 treys per contest in their past 10 games, which is 0.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.7). In addition, they own a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (32.6%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.5%).
San Diego State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-17-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 14-14-1 (Home: 5-8-1; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (192nd in nation) | 37.8 (first) | 31.8 (184th) | 31.4 (194th) | 13.1 (215th) | 10.1 (77th) |
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