The No. 1 seed Auburn Tigers (31-5) are 4.5-point favorites to secure a spot in the Final Four when they enter an NCAA Tournament Elite Eight contest against the No. 2 seed Michigan State Spartans (30-6) to determine the winner of the South Region bracket on Sunday at State Farm Arena, tipping off at 5:05 p.m. ET, airing on CBS. The over/under for the matchup is set at 147.5.
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Auburn Cover -4.5 vs Michigan State -115
Auburn vs. Michigan State betting lines
- Auburn moneyline odds to win: -228
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: +187
- Spread: Auburn (-4.5)
- Total: 147.5
Auburn statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Tigers have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 81.5 points per game in their last 10 contests, 2.1 points fewer than the 83.6 they’ve scored this season.
- The past 10 games have seen Auburn give up 3.2 more points per game (72.5) than its season-long average (69.3).
- The Tigers’ past 10 outings have seen them make 8.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 9.1 makes and 36.3%.
Auburn betting records this season
- ATS Record: 20-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 17-13-0 (As Favorite: 18-15-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 21-15-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 28-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.9 (32nd in nation) | 40.8 (32nd) | 34.5 (50th) | 29.2 (60th) | 16.3 (28th) | 9.1 (12th) |
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Michigan State statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Spartans are posting 75.3 points per contest, 2.8 fewer points than their season average (78.1).
- Michigan State has played better defensively in its previous 10 games, allowing 66.1 points per contest, 1.0 fewer point than its season average of 67.1 allowed.
- The Spartans are draining 7.4 treys per game with a 35.7% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 6 and 31.1%.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 24-12-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 7-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 19-10-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-25-0 (Home: 4-12-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 25-4 (Home: 15-1; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (99th in nation) | 40.4 (22nd) | 36.7 (10th) | 28 (25th) | 16.7 (21st) | 10.8 (142nd) |

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