The Minnesota Timberwolves are 8.5-point underdogs heading into a decisive Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals against the Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center on Wednesday, tipping off at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder are ahead 3-1 in the series. The matchup’s over/under is 221.5.

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Thunder vs. Timberwolves betting lines

• Thunder odds to win: -362
• Timberwolves odds to win: +285
• Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
• Total: 221.5
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)

Thunder Statistics, Trends and More

As the Home Team

• Oklahoma City is 36-6 in home contests with a 29-12-1 record against the spread at home.
• Oklahoma City’s record against the spread is 18-9-1 as 8.5-point favorites or more at home this year.
• The Thunder have hit the over in 25 of their 42 home games this season with a set over/under (59.5%).
• Recent history gives an edge to Oklahoma City to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 227.5 points per contest.

Thunder Recent Trends

• The Thunder are 7-3 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their past 10 games.
• The Thunder and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of those 10 games.
• The Thunder’s past 10 games have ended with an average of 221.6 points scored. That’s 0.1 more points than this contest’s over/under.
• The Thunder’s per-game scoring average during their last 10 games is 5.5 points lower than their season-long average.

Thunder Betting Records

• The Thunder have won 66 of the 79 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (83.5%).
• Oklahoma City has gone 38-7 in games it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -362 or shorter (winning 84.4%).
• Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 78.4%.

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Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More

As the Away Team

• The Timberwolves have a 22-19 record against the spread on the road and are 24-17 in road contests.
• The Timberwolves’ record against the spread is 3-4 as 8.5-point underdogs or more on the road this season.
• Timberwolves road games have hit the over on the set point total 20 times this year.
• This season on the road the Timberwolves and their opponents have averaged a total of 222.3 points per contest, 0.8 points greater than the over/under for this contest.

Timberwolves Recent Trends

• The Timberwolves have a 6-4 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
• The Timberwolves and their opponents have combined to hit the over in six of the past 10 games.
• The Timberwolves’ last 10 games have ended with an average of 210.0 points scored. That’s 11.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
• Over the past 10 games, the Timberwolves are scoring 110.8 points per game compared to their 114.3 season average.

Timberwolves Betting Records

• Minnesota has entered the game as underdogs 19 times this season and won nine, or 47.4%, of those games.
• This season, the Timberwolves have won two of their four games when they’re the underdog by at least +285 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Timberwolves have a 26.0% chance to win.