Week 4 action in the NFL features Drake Maye and the New England Patriots matching up against the Carolina Panthers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we dig into Maye’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this contest.

Drake Maye Prop Lines

• Matchup: New England Patriots vs. Carolina Panthers
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: September 28, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 213.5 (-112)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 25.5 (-112)

Drake Maye Stats and Trends

• Maye has thrown for 785 yards (261.7 per game), completing 72.6% of his passes, with five TDs and two INTs.
• Maye is throwing for 261.7 yards per game, which is more than his prop bet total for this contest of 213.5.
• In all three games this season, Maye has passed for more than 213.5 yards.
• His 261.7 passing yards per game are 40.9 higher than his average prop bet of 220.8 yards.
• He has thrown for a touchdown in all three games this season, with more than one TD pass on two occasions.
• Maye has also run 21 times for 87 yards and one TD.

Recent Performances vs. the Panthers

Patriots Home Splits

• The Patriots put up 13.5 points per game in home games (6.5 less than their overall average), and give up 20.5 at home (2.2 less than overall).
• The Patriots’ average yards gained at home (352.5) is higher than their overall average (346). But their average yards conceded at home (296) is lower than overall (316.7).
• The Patriots accumulate 263 passing yards per game in home games (17.3 more than their overall average), and give up 236 at home (20.3 less than overall).
• The Patriots accumulate 89.5 rushing yards per game at home (10.8 less than their overall average), and concede 60 at home (0.3 less than overall).
• The Patriots’ offensive third-down percentage at home (37%) is lower than their overall average (43.6%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (40.9%) is higher than overall (40.6%).