Week 5 of the NFL season features Tua Tagovailoa and the Miami Dolphins taking on the Carolina Panthers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Tagovailoa’s matchup.

Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines

• Matchup: Miami Dolphins at Carolina Panthers
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: October 5, 2025
• Passing yards prop: Over 215.5 (-111)
• Rushing yards prop: Over 1.5 (-115)

Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends

• This year Tagovailoa has thrown for 752 yards (188.0 per game), going 79-for-114 (69.3%), with seven TDs and four picks.
• Tagovailoa throws for 188.0 yards per game. That’s 27.5 fewer yards than his over/under on Sunday.
• In four games this season, Tagovailoa has passed for more than 215.5 yards once.
• He has come up short of his season prop bet average (241.3 passing yards) by 53.3 yards per game.
• This year, Tagovailoa has finished above his passing yards prop total once.
• He has thrown a touchdown pass in all four games this season, with more than one TD pass three times.
• Tagovailoa has also run six times for 23 yards, picking up 5.8 yards per game.

Recent Performances vs. the Panthers

Dolphins Away Splits

• The Dolphins score 14.5 points per game on the road (6.3 fewer than overall), and concede 32 away from home (2.5 more than overall).
• The Dolphins accumulate fewer yards away from home (243.5 per game) than they do overall (286.3), and give up more (389 per game) than overall (378.8).
• In road tilts, the Dolphins pick up fewer passing yards (139.5 per game) than overall (188.3). They also give up more passing yards (232.5 per game) than overall (220.8).
• The Dolphins accumulate more rushing yards in road games (104 per game) than they do overall (98), and give up fewer away from home (156.5 per game) than overall (158).
• The Dolphins convert 60% of third downs on the road (11.1% more than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 50% of third downs on the road (1.1% less than overall).