Hard Rock Stadium features Week 9 action as the Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa face off against the Baltimore Ravens at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. Let’s take a look at Tagovailoa’s prop bets available for this matchup, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 218.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: October 30, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 218.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 2.5 (-119)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Tagovailoa leads Miami with 1,518 passing yards (189.8 per game), throwing for 15 touchdowns with 10 interceptions this season.
- Tagovailoa throws for 189.8 yards per game. That’s 28.7 fewer yards than his over/under on Thursday.
- In eight games this year, Tagovailoa has topped 218.5 passing yards two times.
- His passing yards average of 189.8 yards this season is less than his average prop bet total (224.5) by 34.7 passing yards.
- This season, Tagovailoa has exceeded his passing yards prop total in three of eight opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in seven of eight games this season — including multiple TDs five times.
- Tagovailoa also has run the ball 11 times for 38 yards, picking up 4.8 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Ravens
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bills | 389 | 2 |
| 2 | Browns | 207 | 2 |
| 3 | Lions | 202 | 1 |
| 4 | Chiefs | 264 | 4 |
| 5 | Texans | 250 | 4 |
| 6 | Rams | 167 | 1 |
| 8 | Bears | 276 | 0 |
Dolphins Home Splits
- The Dolphins’ average points scored (27) and conceded (27.7) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 21.8 and 26.9, respectively.
- At home, the Dolphins accumulate 333 yards per game and give up 380. That’s more than they gain (286.4) and allow (344.4) overall.
- The Dolphins’ average passing yards gained (226) and conceded (227) at home are both higher than their overall averages of 187.9 and 199.4, respectively.
- The Dolphins accumulate 107 rushing yards per game at home (8.5 more than their overall average), and concede 153 at home (eight more than overall).
- At home, the Dolphins convert 39.4% of third downs and allow 47.2% to be converted. That’s less than they convert overall (41.2%), and more than they allow (43.2%).
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