The Denver Nuggets (4-2) host the Miami Heat (4-3) after winning three home games in a row. The Nuggets are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. The point total is 241.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Nuggets Cover -9.5 vs Heat -110
Nuggets vs. Heat betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -407
- Heat odds to win: +316
- Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
- Total: 241.5
- TV Channel: KTVD (Denver, CO)
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Denver is 3-0 in home contests and have covered the spread in two games at home.
- This year, Denver is 2-1 ATS in home games as 9.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over in two of their three home games this season with a set over/under (66.7%).
- Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 236.3 points per home contest this year, 5.2 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Nuggets ATS Trends Last Season
- The Nuggets had 38 wins in 82 games against the spread last year.
- The Nuggets went 8-8 as 9.5-point favorites or greater last year.
- Out of 82 Nuggets games last year, 49 hit the over.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have won 80% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (4-1).
- Denver has won all three games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -407 or shorter.
- The Nuggets have an 80.3% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.8 (second in NBA) | 45.5 (seventh) | 45.7 (11th) | 40 (fourth) | 29.8 (third) | 13 (fourth) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Heat have covered the spread three times on the road and are 2-3 in road contests.
- The Heat have hit the over in four of their five road games this year with a set over/under (80%).
- This season on the road the Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 227.1 points per contest, 14.4 points less than the over/under for this contest.
Heat ATS Trends Last Season
- The Heat’s record against the spread last year was 38-41-3.
- The Heat had an ATS record of 3-1-1 as underdogs of 9.5 points or more last season.
- Out of 82 Heat games last year, 44 went over the total.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has entered the game as underdogs six times this season and won three of those games.
- The Heat have not entered a game this season as a bigger underdog on the moneyline than the +316 odds on them winning this game.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Heat have a 24.0% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.2 (fourth in NBA) | 44.9 (fifth) | 44.4 (13th) | 44.7 (16th) | 30 (second) | 15.4 (18th) |
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