The Miami Heat (8-6) are heavy, 10.5-point favorites against the Golden State Warriors (9-7) on Wednesday, November 19, 2025 at 7:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on FDSSUN and NBCS-BA. The matchup has an over/under of 233.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Heat Cover -10.5 vs Warriors -110
Heat vs. Warriors betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -420
- Warriors odds to win: +325
- Spread: Heat (-10.5)
- Total: 233.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami is 6-1 in home contests and have covered the spread six times at home.
- Heat games have hit the over on the set point total four times at home this year.
- Recent history gives an edge to Miami to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 240.0 points per contest.
Heat Recent Trends
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have a 3-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 75% of those games).
- Miami has not yet played as a moneyline favorite of -420 or shorter.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat an 80.8% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.8 (eighth in NBA) | 43.9 (third) | 44.2 (15th) | 49.7 (29th) | 30.3 (second) | 14.4 (13th) |
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Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Warriors have a 4-7 ATS record in road games so far while putting up a record of 4-7 overall in those contests.
- This season, the Warriors are 1-1 ATS in road games as 10.5-point underdogs or more.
- Warriors road games have gone over the set point total eight times this year.
- Recent performance seems to go against the Warriors to beat the total. Their road games have averaged a total of 228.8 points per contest this season.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors are 5-5 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- Warriors’ past 10 contests saw six hit the over.
- The last 10 Warriors games averaged 228.7 total points, 4.8 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Warriors’ per-game scoring average during their past 10 games is 113.4, 2.1 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Warriors Betting Records
- Golden State has been underdogs in six games this season and won three (50%) of those contests.
- The Warriors have played as an underdog of +325 or more once this season and lost that game.
- The implied probability of a win by the Warriors based on the moneyline is 23.5%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.7 (22nd in NBA) | 47.6 (20th) | 41.6 (23rd) | 43.6 (13th) | 27.3 (ninth) | 16.1 (27th) |
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