SMU vs. Arkansas State betting: College basketball preview for Nov. 21

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The SMU Mustangs (5-0) are heavily favored (by 14.5 points) to build on a five-game home winning streak when they host the Arkansas State Red Wolves (3-2) on Friday, November 21, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET. The matchup has a point total of 172.5.

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SMU Cover -14.5 vs Arkansas State -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

SMU vs. Arkansas State betting lines

  • SMU moneyline odds to win: -1639
  • Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: +908
  • Spread: SMU (-14.5)
  • Total: 172.5

SMU statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • SMU covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games last year. SMU covered seven times in 17 games at home, and it covered five times in 11 games on the road.
  • The Mustangs went over the total in 11 of 17 home games (64.7%) last season, compared to five of 11 road games (45.5%).
  • SMU played better as a moneyline favorite at home last year, sporting a home record of 12-2 home record, compared to going 7-2 away from home.

Last season stats

  • The Mustangs were 40th in the country in points scored (79.9 per game) and 152nd in points allowed (71.3) last season.
  • Last season, SMU was 43rd in the country in rebounds (34.7 per game) and 53rd in rebounds conceded (29.0).
  • At 15.9 assists per game last year, the Mustangs were 42nd in college basketball.

SMU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 2-3-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 0-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-3-0; As Underdog: 0-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-2-0 (Home: 3-2-0; Away: 0-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-0 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
50.3 (43rd in nation) 39.8 (93rd) 36.4 (112th) 30.6 (151st) 18.0 (54th) 11.4 (138th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on SMU vs. Arkansas State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Arkansas State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Last year, Arkansas State was 9-5-0 at home against the spread (.643 winning percentage). On the road, it was 9-3-1 ATS (.692).
  • In 2024-25, a lower percentage of the Red Wolves’ games finished above the over/under at home (35.7%, five of 14) than on the road (46.2%, six of 13).

Last season stats

  • Last season the Red Wolves scored 79.4 points per game (50th-ranked in college basketball) and ceded 70.2 points per contest (119th-ranked).
  • Arkansas State ranked fifth-best in the nation by averaging 37.9 boards per game. In terms of rebounds allowed, it ranked 332nd in college basketball (34.2 allowed per contest).
  • The Red Wolves dished out 14.3 assists per game, which ranked them 119th in college basketball.

Arkansas State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 3-1-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 0-1-0; As Underdog: 3-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-1-0 (Home: 0-0-0; Away: 3-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.2 (231st in nation) 47.4 (316th) 33.4 (207th) 30.8 (158th) 14.2 (205th) 12.4 (205th)
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