The Miami Heat (11-6) will attempt to build on a four-game winning streak when they host the Dallas Mavericks (5-13) on Monday, November 24, 2025 at Kaseya Center as 7.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and KFAA. The matchup has an over/under of 240.5 points.
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Heat Cover -7.5 vs Mavericks -110
Heat vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -275
- Mavericks odds to win: +223
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)
- Total: 240.5
- TV Channel: KTVD (Denver, CO)
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Miami has covered the spread seven times at home and is 7-1 in home contests.
- Miami has a 2-0 record ATS at home this year when playing as 7.5-point favorites or more.
- Heat games have hit the over on the set point total four times at home this year.
- Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 239.2 points per home contest this year, 1.3 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 7-3 record straight-up in their last 10 matchups, while covering the spread seven times in those games.
- The Heat’s past 10 games saw five go over the total.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 241.5 total points, 1.0 more point than this matchup’s over/under.
- In the past 10 games, the Heat are scoring 0.8 points more per game compared to their season average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have a 4-1 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 80% of those games).
- Miami has played as a moneyline favorite of -275 or shorter in just one game this season, and won.
- The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Heat a 73.3% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (11th in NBA) | 43.3 (second) | 46 (seventh) | 49.6 (29th) | 30.6 (first) | 14.1 (12th) |
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Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Mavericks have covered the spread twice on the road so far while going 1-4 in road contests.
- Mavericks road games have gone over the set point total one time this year.
- This season on the road the Mavericks and their opponents have averaged a total of 230.2 points per contest, 10.3 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks have covered the spread four times in their last 10 matchups while putting up a 3-7 record straight-up in those games.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have combined to hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The past 10 Mavericks games averaged 9.7 fewer points (230.8) than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Mavericks’ per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 112.9, 3.0 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- This season, Dallas has been the underdog 11 times and won two of those games.
- This season, the Mavericks have been at least a +223 underdog on the moneyline five times, losing each of those contests.
- The Mavericks have a 31.0% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (26th in NBA) | 45.2 (sixth) | 45.2 (14th) | 49.4 (28th) | 23.9 (28th) | 16.4 (28th) |
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