Week 15 action in the NFL features Jaylen Warren and the Pittsburgh Steelers taking on the Miami Dolphins at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday. With prop bets in place for Warren in this outing, let’s break down the stats and trends to help you make good predictions.
Rushing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Jaylen Warren to go over 50.5 yards
Jaylen Warren Prop Lines
- Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Miami Dolphins
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: December 15, 2025
- Rushing yards prop: Over 50.5 (-111)
- Receiving yards prop: Over 13.5 (-115)
Jaylen Warren Stats and Trends
- Warren leads the team with 652 yards (54.3 ypg) on 159 rushes and has scored four rushing scores.
- Warren averages 54.3 rushing yards, 3.8 more than Monday’s over/under.
- Warren has put up over 50.5 yards on the ground in six of 12 games.
- He gains 2.8 fewer yards per game than his average over/under (57.1).
- In five of 12 opportunities (41.7%), Warren has gone beyond his rushing yards prop bet.
- He has recorded multiple rushing TDs once this season, and has scored in three games.
- Plus, Warren has accumulated 30 receptions for 277 yards (23.1 ypg) and two TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Rush Yards Allowed | Rush TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 156 | 2 |
| 2 | Patriots | 122 | 1 |
| 3 | Bills | 157 | 1 |
| 4 | Jets | 197 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 239 | 1 |
| 6 | Chargers | 140 | 0 |
| 7 | Browns | 104 | 3 |
| 8 | Falcons | 45 | 1 |
| 9 | Ravens | 150 | 0 |
| 10 | Bills | 87 | 0 |
| 11 | Commanders | 172 | 0 |
| 13 | Saints | 81 | 0 |
| 14 | Jets | 65 | 0 |
Steelers Home Splits
- The Steelers put up 22.4 points per game at home (1.3 less than their overall average), and concede 22 at home (1.9 less than overall).
- At home, the Steelers rack up 277.7 yards per game and concede 358. That’s less than they gain (284.5) and allow (369.3) overall.
- The Steelers rack up 191.6 passing yards per game in home games (3.6 less than their overall average), and concede 250.1 at home (6.1 more than overall).
- The Steelers accumulate 86.1 rushing yards per game at home (3.1 less than their overall average), and give up 107.9 at home (17.4 less than overall).
- The Steelers’ third-down percentages on offense (35.4%) and defense (41.6%) at home are both lower than their overall numbers of 40% and 43.2%, respectively.
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