The No. 12 North Carolina Tar Heels (9-1) are heavily favored (by 17.5 points) to build on an eight-game home win streak when they host the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (8-3) on Tuesday, December 16, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is set at 151.5.
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North Carolina Cover -17.5 vs East Tennessee State -108
North Carolina vs. East Tennessee State betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -2439
- East Tennessee State moneyline odds to win: +1125
- Spread: North Carolina (-17.5)
- Total: 151.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home last season, North Carolina had a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (4-8-0).
- The Tar Heels exceeded the over/under less often when playing at home last season, hitting the over in seven of 15 home matchups (46.7%). On the road, they hit the over in seven of 12 games (58.3%).
- As a moneyline favorite last season, North Carolina had an identical winning percentage at home compared to when playing on the road (.857).
Last season stats
- Last season, the Tar Heels were 29th in the country offensively (80.7 points scored per game) and 261st on defense (74.7 points allowed).
- North Carolina collected 33.2 rebounds per game and gave up 31.2 boards last year, ranking 105th and 182nd, respectively, in the nation.
- Last season the Tar Heels were ranked 93rd in college basketball in assists with 14.7 per game.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-4-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 1-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 17.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-3-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 3-7-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 0-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (136th in nation) | 36.9 (eighth) | 39.4 (13th) | 29.1 (89th) | 16.3 (86th) | 10.5 (90th) |
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East Tennessee State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, East Tennessee State has a better winning percentage at home (1.000, 5-0-0 record) than away (.250, 1-3-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Buccaneers games have gone over less frequently at home (two of five, 40%) than on the road (three of four, 75%).
Last season stats
- The Buccaneers put up 71.9 points per game (237th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while ceding 66.5 points per contest (35th-ranked).
- East Tennessee State averaged 33.8 boards per game (68th-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 30.7 rebounds per contest (147th-ranked).
- Last year the Buccaneers ranked 219th in college basketball in assists, averaging 13.0 per game.
East Tennessee State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-3-0 (Home: 5-0-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- O-U-P: 5-4-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 5-0; Away: 0-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.2 (46th in nation) | 39.0 (34th) | 34.4 (133rd) | 29.3 (97th) | 16.4 (78th) | 11.5 (169th) |

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