Dayton vs. Liberty betting: College basketball preview for Dec. 20

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Dayton Flyers (9-3) are heavily favored (by 10.5 points) to extend a three-game home win streak when they host the Liberty Flames (7-3) on Saturday, December 20, 2025 at 12:30 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under set at 144.5 points.

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Spread

Dayton Cover -10.5 vs Liberty -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

Dayton vs. Liberty betting lines

  • Dayton moneyline odds to win: -588
  • Liberty moneyline odds to win: +427
  • Spread: Dayton (-10.5)
  • Total: 144.5

Dayton statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Dayton did a better job covering the spread in road games (5-4-0) than it did at home (7-10-0) last season.
  • The Flyers exceeded the total less consistently at home last season, hitting the over in 11 of 17 home matchups (64.7%). In away games, they hit the over in six of nine games (66.7%).
  • Dayton won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home last year, going 14-1 (.933). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it owned a record of 3-4 (.429).

Last season stats

  • On offense, the Flyers were the 134th-ranked squad in the nation (75.4 points per game) last season. Defensively, they were 140th (70.8 points conceded per game).
  • Dayton collected 30.9 rebounds per game and gave up 30.1 boards last year, ranking 239th and 104th, respectively, in the country.
  • At 15.2 assists per game last year, the Flyers were 69th in the country.

Dayton betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-6-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 1-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 6-6-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 0-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.8 (120th in nation) 43.4 (174th) 31.1 (276th) 32.4 (248th) 15.1 (141st) 11.3 (153rd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Dayton vs. Liberty? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Liberty had a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than away (.818, 9-2-0).
  • Flames games finished above the over/under less often at home (four times out of 12) than on the road (six of 11) last year.

Last season stats

  • The Flames sported a top-25 defense last season, ranking 11th-best in college basketball with 63.4 points allowed per game. Offensively, they ranked 119th with 75.9 points scored per contest.
  • Liberty pulled down 30.1 boards per game (291st-ranked in college basketball). It allowed 31.4 rebounds per contest (195th-ranked).
  • With 16.7 assists per game, the Flames were 21st-best in college basketball in the category.

Liberty betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 3-4-0 (Home: 3-0-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 4-3-0 (Home: 2-1-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 2-0; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
53.7 (second in nation) 43.0 (160th) 29.2 (325th) 29.0 (88th) 18.6 (26th) 8.6 (fourth)
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