The Miami Heat (17-15) are only 1.5-point underdogs against the Denver Nuggets (22-9) at Kaseya Center on Monday, December 29, 2025. The game tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on FDSSUN and ALT2. The point total is 244.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Nuggets Cover -1.5 vs Heat -112
Nuggets vs. Heat betting lines
- Nuggets odds to win: -126
- Heat odds to win: +106
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)
- Total: 244.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Sun
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Denver is 12-4 in road contests with a 9-7 record against the spread on the road.
- Denver has an 8-6 record ATS in road games this year as 1.5-point favorites or more.
- The Nuggets have hit the over on a set point total in a road game 11 times this season.
- This season on the road, Denver and its opponents have averaged a total of 235.5 points per contest, 9.0 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets have covered the spread five times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 7-3 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Nuggets games has exceeded the set total seven times.
- The Nuggets’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 238.5 points scored. That’s 6.0 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
- In their last 10 games, the Nuggets have a points-per-game average 1.5 points above their season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- The Nuggets have been favored on the moneyline 27 total times this season. They’ve gone 20-7 in those games.
- When it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -126 or shorter, Denver has gone 18-7 (72% win percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Nuggets’ implied win probability is 55.8%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.3 (first in NBA) | 47.2 (16th) | 44.3 (16th) | 41.1 (third) | 29.7 (third) | 12.8 (third) |
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Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Heat have hit the over in seven of their 16 home games this year with a set over/under (43.8%).
- The Heat have a 9-7 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 11-5 overall in those contests.
- The Heat have gone 6-7 ATS in home games this season when playing as 1.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Heat and their opponents have averaged a total of 237.8 points per home contest this year, 6.7 points fewer than this game’s projected total.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have a 3-7 record straight-up in their last 10 contests, while covering the spread five times in those games.
- Heat’s last 10 outings saw three hit the over.
- The last 10 Heat games averaged 236.1 total points, 8.4 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- The Heat’s per-game scoring average across their past 10 games is 112.6, 7.6 points lower than their season-long per-game average.
Heat Betting Records
- Miami has won eight, or 47.1%, of the 17 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Heat have a record of 7-8 in games where sportsbooks have them as underdogs of at least +106 on the moneyline.
- The Heat have a 48.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.2 (13th in NBA) | 45.4 (fourth) | 45.8 (sixth) | 47.7 (27th) | 28.5 (seventh) | 13.5 (sixth) |
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