Bowling Green vs. UMass betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 3

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Bowling Green Falcons (10-4, 1-1 MAC) visit the UMass Minutemen (9-5, 0-2 MAC) after winning three straight road games. The Falcons are favored by just 2.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 3, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.

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Bowling Green Cover -2.5 vs UMass -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Bowling Green vs. UMass betting lines

  • Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: -139
  • UMass moneyline odds to win: +117
  • Spread: Bowling Green (-2.5)
  • Total: 152.5

Bowling Green statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Bowling Green had a worse record against the spread when playing at home (6-8-0) than it did on the road (7-6-0) last season.
  • The Falcons went over the over/under in six of 14 home games (42.9%) last season. They did better on the road, going over the total in seven of 13 matchups (53.8%).
  • As a moneyline favorite last season, Bowling Green took six of eight games at home, good for a .750 winning percentage. Bowling Green won two of three games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • On offense, the Falcons were the 189th-ranked team in the nation (73.5 points per game) last season. On defense, they were 238th (73.9 points conceded per game).
  • On the glass, Bowling Green was 253rd in college basketball in rebounds (30.8 per game) last season. It was 187th in rebounds conceded (31.3 per game).
  • With 11.2 assists per game, the Falcons were 21st-worst in college basketball last year.

Bowling Green betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-5-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 3-0-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
  • O-U-P: 3-8-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 1-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-2 (Home: 3-2; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.7 (32nd in nation) 41.2 (81st) 33.4 (177th) 29.2 (94th) 16.6 (78th) 11.5 (173rd)

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UMass statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, UMass had a lower winning percentage at home (.400, 6-9-0 record) than on the road (.727, 8-3-0).
  • Looking at the over/under, Minutemen games finished over more often at home (eight of 15, 53.3%) than away (five of 11, 45.5%) last year.
  • The Minutemen’s winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs was .333 (1-2) last season, and on the road it was .300 (3-7).

Last season stats

  • Last year the Minutemen scored 72.9 points per game (205th-ranked in college basketball) and allowed 75.0 points per contest (271st-ranked).
  • UMass was top-25 last season in rebounding, ranking 21st-best in college basketball with 35.8 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, it ranked 321st with 33.8 rebounds allowed per contest.
  • Last season the Minutemen ranked 227th in college basketball in assists, dishing out 12.9 per game.

UMass betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-7-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 0-1-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 3-5-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-6-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 1-0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-3 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.6 (178th in nation) 42.4 (128th) 35.4 (81st) 28.9 (79th) 17.8 (39th) 13.2 (310th)
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