The VMI Keydets (6-9, 1-1 SoCon) are heavy underdogs (by 16.5 points) to break a six-game road losing streak when they visit the East Tennessee State Buccaneers (10-5, 2-0 SoCon) on Wednesday, January 7, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The over/under in the matchup is set at 146.5.
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East Tennessee State Cover -16.5 vs VMI -115
East Tennessee State vs. VMI betting lines
- East Tennessee State moneyline odds to win: -2128
- VMI moneyline odds to win: +1018
- Spread: East Tennessee State (-16.5)
- Total: 146.5
East Tennessee State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- When playing at home, East Tennessee State sports a better record against the spread (5-2-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (2-4-0).
- The Buccaneers have exceeded the over/under less consistently at home, hitting the over in three of seven home matchups (42.9%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of six games (50%).
- East Tennessee State has played better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 6-1, compared to going 1-2 away from home.
Recent trends
- The Buccaneers have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 77.6 points per game in their last 10 contests, 0.5 points fewer than the 78.1 they’ve scored this season.
- The past 10 games have seen East Tennessee State give up 1.6 more points per game (68.1) than its season-long average (66.5).
- The Buccaneers’ past 10 contests have seen them make 8.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.0% from deep. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.8 makes and 33.4%.
East Tennessee State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-6-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 16.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 6-4-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
- O-U-P: 6-7-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-3 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (57th in nation) | 40.6 (58th) | 32.3 (223rd) | 29.1 (86th) | 14.7 (154th) | 10.9 (124th) |
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VMI statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- VMI’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .500. It is 2-2-0 ATS on its home court and 3-3-0 on the road.
- Both at home (two of four) and on the road (three of six), the Keydets’ games have gone over (in terms of the over/under) 50% of the time.
- This year the Keydets are 2-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.500 winning percentage). On the road they are 0-4 (.000).
Recent trends
- The Keydets have played worse offensively over their previous 10 games, scoring 71.1 points per contest, 5.7 fewer points their than season average of 76.8.
- VMI is giving up 77.9 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 1.9 more points than it is allowing for the season (76.0).
- In their past 10 games, the Keydets are draining 9.6 treys per game, 1.5 fewer threes than their season average (11.1). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (29.5%) compared to their season average (32.7%).
VMI betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-7-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 16.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 4-6-0)
- O-U-P: 5-7-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 2-2; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.0 (339th in nation) | 43.5 (180th) | 33.6 (157th) | 36.1 (347th) | 13.3 (255th) | 10.3 (78th) |
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