The Indiana Pacers (7-31) host the Miami Heat (20-17) after losing seven home games in a row. The Heat are favored by 7.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 10, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 234.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Heat Cover -7.5 vs Pacers -109
Heat vs. Pacers betting lines
- Heat odds to win: -296
- Pacers odds to win: +238
- Spread: Heat (-7.5)
- Total: 234.5
- TV Channel: FanDuel Sports Network Indiana
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Heat Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Miami has a 10-7-1 record against the spread on the road and are 7-11 in road contests.
- Miami has a 1-0 record ATS on the road this year when playing as 7.5-point favorites or more.
- The Heat have gone over a set point total in a road game eight times this year.
- This season on the road Miami and its opponents have averaged a total of 235.9 points per contest, 1.4 points greater than the over/under for this contest.
Heat Recent Trends
- The Heat have covered the spread six times in their past 10 matchups while putting up a 5-5 record straight-up in those games.
- The Heat’s last 10 games saw five go over the total.
- The Heat’s past 10 games have ended with an average of 238.1 points scored. That’s 3.6 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- During the last 10 games, the Heat are scoring 0.2 points less per game compared to their season average.
Heat Betting Records
- The Heat have won 10 of the 16 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (62.5%).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -296 or shorter, Miami has a record of 3-1 (75% win percentage).
- Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Heat have an implied win probability of 74.7%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (16th in NBA) | 45.9 (fifth) | 45.6 (sixth) | 47.2 (27th) | 28.7 (seventh) | 13.8 (12th) |
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Pacers Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Pacers have gone over a set point total in a home game nine times this season.
- The Pacers are 5-15 in home contests with an 11-9 record against the spread at home.
- This season, the Pacers are 0-1 ATS at home when playing as 7.5-point underdogs or more.
- This season at home the Pacers and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.7 points per contest, 1.8 points fewer than the over/under for this contest.
Pacers Recent Trends
- The Pacers are 1-9 overall and 5-5 against the spread over their past 10 games.
- The Pacers and their opponents have hit the over in four of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Pacers games averaged 228.4 total points, 6.1 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
- Over their past 10 games, the Pacers have a 112.6 points-per-game average, 1.8 points above their season-long scoring average.
Pacers Betting Records
- Indiana has won five, or 15.2%, of the 33 games it has played as underdogs this season.
- The Pacers have a record of 1-12 in games where oddsmakers have them as underdogs of at least +238 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 29.6% chance of a victory for the Pacers.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (30th in NBA) | 48.5 (25th) | 42.4 (24th) | 47.2 (27th) | 24.5 (28th) | 13.5 (seventh) |
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