The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-5, 2-0 SEC) are heavy underdogs (by 10.5 points) to build on a three-game road winning streak when they visit the Kentucky Wildcats (9-6, 0-2 SEC) on Saturday, January 10, 2026 at 8:30 p.m. ET. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Kentucky Cover -10.5 vs Mississippi State -111
Kentucky vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -633
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +456
- Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)
- Total: 153.5
Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread last season, Kentucky performed better at home, covering 10 times in 18 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
- The Wildcats went over the total more consistently when playing at home last year, hitting the over in 11 of 18 home matchups (61.1%). On the road, they hit the over in six of 10 games (60%).
- Kentucky fared better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last season, posting a home record of 14-2 home record, compared to going 1-3 in road games.
Recent trends
- The Wildcats’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 80.9 points a contest compared to the 83.1 they’ve averaged this year.
- Kentucky’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has given up 70.1 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 69.5 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- While the Wildcats are hitting fewer threes per game over their past 10 outings (7.9 per game) when compared to their season-long average (8.3), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.2% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 33.3% on the season).
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 0-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
- O-U-P: 6-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.8 (68th in nation) | 40.5 (49th) | 36.3 (47th) | 29.1 (85th) | 17.5 (37th) | 10.1 (60th) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Last season, Mississippi State was 6-9-0 at home against the spread (.400 winning percentage). On the road, it was 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
- In terms of the over/under, Bulldogs games finished over nine of 15 times at home (60%) and seven of 11 on the road (63.6%) last season.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs are averaging 81.6 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.8 more than their average for the season (80.8).
- Mississippi State is allowing 73.3 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.8).
- In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs are sinking 7.8 threes per game, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (8.1). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.5%) compared to their season average (32.1%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-9-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 2-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (180th in nation) | 41.1 (65th) | 38.2 (19th) | 35.1 (336th) | 12.8 (279th) | 11.2 (155th) |
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