Matthew Stafford and his Los Angeles Rams teammates take on the Chicago Bears in the NFC Divisional Round of the NFL playoffs. Kickoff is set for 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday. In this piece we’ll break down the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for Stafford’s outing.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Matthew Stafford to go over 265.5 yards
Matthew Stafford Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears
- Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Date: January 18, 2026
- Passing yards prop: Over 265.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 0.5 (+149)
Matthew Stafford Stats and Trends
- Stafford has thrown for 4,707 yards (276.9 yards per game), completing 65% of his throws (388-for-597), with 46 touchdowns and eight interceptions.
- Stafford is passing for 276.9 yards per game, which is 11.4 higher than his over/under on Sunday.
- In 10 of 17 matchups this year, Stafford has topped 265.5 passing yards.
- His 276.9 passing yards per game are 22.9 higher than his average prop bet of 254 yards.
- This year, Stafford has bettered his passing yards prop total in 11 games (64.7%).
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all 17 games this season, with more than one TD pass 15 times.
- Stafford also has chipped in via the running game, with one yards (0.1 per game) on 29 attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Bears
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vikings | 134 | 2 |
| 2 | Lions | 334 | 5 |
| 3 | Cowboys | 275 | 1 |
| 4 | Raiders | 117 | 2 |
| 6 | Commanders | 205 | 3 |
| 7 | Saints | 209 | 2 |
| 8 | Ravens | 178 | 1 |
| 9 | Bengals | 449 | 4 |
| 10 | Giants | 262 | 0 |
| 11 | Vikings | 150 | 1 |
| 12 | Steelers | 159 | 1 |
| 13 | Eagles | 230 | 2 |
| 14 | Packers | 220 | 3 |
| 15 | Browns | 142 | 0 |
| 16 | Packers | 192 | 1 |
| 17 | 49ers | 296 | 3 |
| 18 | Lions | 311 | 1 |
| Playoffs | Packers | 322 | 4 |
Rams Away Splits
- The Rams score 31.9 points per game on the road (1.4 more than overall), and allow 22.3 on the road (1.9 more than overall).
- The Rams pick up 395.7 yards per game away from home (1.1 more than overall), and concede 335.4 away from home (7.9 more than overall).
- On the road, the Rams accumulate fewer passing yards (258.1 per game) than they do overall (268.1). But they also allow fewer passing yards on the road (208) than overall (216.7).
- The Rams accumulate 137.6 rushing yards per game on the road (11 more than overall), and allow 127.4 in road games (16.6 more than overall).
- On the road, the Rams convert fewer third downs (38.1%) than overall (39.6%). They also allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (36.7%) than overall (36.3%).
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