Belmont vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 13

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Valparaiso Beacons (8-9, 2-4 MVC) visit the Belmont Bruins (15-3, 5-2 MVC) after losing five straight road games. The Bruins are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 7:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 13, 2026. The matchup’s point total is set at 146.5.

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Belmont Cover -11.5 vs Valparaiso -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Belmont vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Belmont moneyline odds to win: -787
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +539
  • Spread: Belmont (-11.5)
  • Total: 146.5

Belmont statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Belmont has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (5-3-0) than it has at home (2-5-0).
  • The Bruins have eclipsed the over/under in four of seven home games (57.1%). They’ve fared better on the road, topping the total in five of eight matchups (62.5%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Belmont has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.714) compared to road games (.833).

Recent trends

  • The Bruins’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, racking up 80.4 points a contest compared to the 83.4 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Belmont has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball lately, giving up 73.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.7 points per game its opponents average over the 2025-26 season.
  • The Bruins’ 10.2 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are less than the 10.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 41.0% compared to their season-long percentage of 39.3% from beyond the arc.

Belmont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-8-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 5-2; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51.1 (16th in nation) 38.2 (seventh) 35.3 (75th) 29.6 (106th) 18.1 (26th) 13.3 (318th)

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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This year, Valparaiso is 6-3-0 at home against the spread (.667 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-2-0 ATS (.714).
  • Beacons games have finished above the over/under less frequently at home (three times out of nine) than away (five of seven) this season.
  • The Beacons’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and away it is .143 (1-6).

Recent trends

  • While the Beacons are putting up 71.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have improved that mark over their past 10 games, tallying 72.9 a contest.
  • Valparaiso is surrendering 73.2 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 71.1 points allowed.
  • The Beacons are sinking 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game over their last 10 games (6.4) compared to their season average (6.8), but they are putting up a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.0%) compared to their season mark (31.5%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 4-2-0; As Underdog: 7-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-8-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-1 (Home: 5-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.9 (337th in nation) 42.6 (128th) 33.4 (158th) 32.8 (268th) 11.6 (330th) 10.4 (89th)
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