SEC opponents meet when the Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-7, 2-2 SEC) host the Ole Miss Rebels (10-7, 2-2 SEC) at Humphrey Coliseum, starting at 8:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The Rebels are 4-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 147.5.

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Mississippi State vs. Ole Miss betting lines

• Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: -185
• Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +154
• Spread: Mississippi State (-4)
• Total: 147.5

Mississippi State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• At home last season, Mississippi State sported a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (6-5-0).
• At home last year, the Bulldogs exceed the over/under 60% of the time (nine of 15 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 63.6% of games (seven of 11).
• As a moneyline favorite last year, Mississippi State won a lower percentage of its home games (.667) compared to road games (.800).

Recent trends

• The Bulldogs have been putting up 80.4 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 80.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
• The past 10 games have seen Mississippi State allow 2.3 fewer points per game (75.7) than its season-long average (78.0).
• The Bulldogs are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.2 threes per game and shooting 30.4% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.9 makes and 31.3% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Mississippi State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 6-11-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 4+: 1-6-0 (As Favorite: 5-8-0; As Underdog: 1-3-0)
• O-U-P: 10-7-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 3-0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)

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Ole Miss statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Last year, Ole Miss was 7-9-0 at home against the spread (.438 winning percentage). On the road, it was 4-7-0 ATS (.364).
• Looking at the over/under, Rebels games finished over less often at home (seven of 16, 43.8%) than away (six of 11, 54.5%) last year.
• The Rebels, as moneyline underdogs, won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (3-6) last year.

Recent trends

• Over their past 10 games, the Rebels are compiling 74.6 points per contest, compared to their season average of 76.5.
• In its previous 10 games, Ole Miss is surrendering 73.4 points per contest, 2.3 more points than its season average (71.1).
• The Rebels are draining 8.2 three-pointers per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (7.9). That said, they have a worse shooting percentage from beyond the arc over their past 10 contests (34.7%) compared to their season average (35.4%).

Ole Miss betting records this season

• ATS Record: 5-12-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 4+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 2-4-0)
• O-U-P: 12-5-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-2 (Home: 7-1; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-2)