The Central Arkansas Bears (8-10, 3-2 ASUN) host the North Florida Ospreys (3-15, 1-4 ASUN) after winning seven straight home games. The Bears are heavy favorites by 12.5 points in the matchup, which begins at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 17, 2026. The point total in the matchup is set at 164.5.
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Central Arkansas Cover -12.5 vs North Florida -109
Central Arkansas vs. North Florida betting lines
- Central Arkansas moneyline odds to win: -800
- North Florida moneyline odds to win: +548
- Spread: Central Arkansas (-12.5)
- Total: 164.5
Central Arkansas statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Central Arkansas has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered five times in seven opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered two times in nine opportunities in road games.
- The Bears have hit the over on the total in five of seven home games (71.4%), compared to two of nine road games (22.2%).
- When playing at home, Central Arkansas has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 4-0 (1.000). In away games, it is 0-1 (.000) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Bears have been racking up 80.2 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little higher than the 76.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Central Arkansas has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 73.0 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 74.6 it has surrendered per game this year.
- The Bears’ 10.1 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are less than the 10.2 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 32.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 31.9% from beyond the arc.
Central Arkansas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-7-0)
- O-U-P: 7-9-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-1 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 2-1; Away: 0-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.5 (274th in nation) | 43.5 (167th) | 34.1 (113th) | 33.2 (292nd) | 15.8 (90th) | 11.8 (222nd) |
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North Florida statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, North Florida is 2-2-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). On the road, it is 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
- In terms of the over/under, Ospreys games have gone over one of four times at home (25%), and six of 10 on the road (60%).
- The Ospreys’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .000 (0-4), and on the road it is .167 (1-5).
Recent trends
- The Ospreys have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, generating 77.5 points per contest, 2.7 fewer points their than season average of 80.2.
- In its previous 10 games, North Florida is ceding 95.0 points per contest, 4.9 more points than its season average (90.1).
- Over their last 10 games, the Ospreys are draining 11.3 three-pointers per game, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (11.6). They also have a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.8%) compared to their season average (35.3%).
North Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-6-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 5-3-0 (As Favorite: 0-0-0; As Underdog: 10-6-0)
- O-U-P: 9-7-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-11 (Home: 0-4; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (232nd in nation) | 49.5 (357th) | 27.9 (346th) | 37.9 (364th) | 14.7 (156th) | 12.7 (297th) |

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