The UMass Minutemen (11-8, 2-5 MAC) host the Toledo Rockets (10-8, 4-2 MAC) in a matchup of MAC teams at William D. Mullins Center, beginning at 6 p.m. ET on Tuesday, January 20, 2026. The Minutemen are 2.5-point favorites in the game. The point total is set at 164.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
UMass Cover -2.5 vs Toledo -109
UMass vs. Toledo betting lines
- UMass moneyline odds to win: -145
- Toledo moneyline odds to win: +121
- Spread: UMass (-2.5)
- Total: 164.5
UMass statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- UMass has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered four times in nine opportunities at home, and it has covered one time in four opportunities in away games.
- The Minutemen have gone over the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (55.6%) than road tilts (75%).
- As a moneyline favorite, UMass has won six of seven games when playing at home, good for a .857 winning percentage. It has won one of three games away from home (.333) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- The Minutemen have been scoring 81.8 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little higher than the 80.1 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 campaign.
- The last 10 games have seen UMass allow 2.6 more points per game (76.8) than its season-long average (74.2).
- The Minutemen are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.2 threes per game and shooting 36.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.6 makes and 34.7% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
UMass betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-10-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 1-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-8-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-7-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-4 (Home: 6-1; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (132nd in nation) | 43.5 (167th) | 34.6 (89th) | 28.5 (57th) | 17.7 (27th) | 13.4 (332nd) |
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Toledo statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Toledo has had better results on the road (4-3-0) than at home (2-5-0).
- In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Rockets’ games have finished above the over/under at home (57.1%, four of seven) than away (42.9%, three of seven).
Recent trends
- While the Rockets are averaging 82.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have bettered that mark in their last 10 games, amassing 83.1 a contest.
- Over its last 10 games, Toledo is allowing 80.6 points per game, 2.3 more points than its season average (78.3).
- In their previous 10 games, the Rockets are draining 6.2 threes per contest, 0.6 fewer threes than their season average (6.8). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.8%) compared to their season average (34.5%).
Toledo betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 7-9-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-4 (Home: 4-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.7 (65th in nation) | 48.1 (342nd) | 31.2 (258th) | 31.7 (215th) | 15.8 (93rd) | 10.3 (84th) |
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