The Florida State Seminoles (7-11, 0-5 ACC) are heavy underdogs (+11.5) as they attempt to break a five-game road losing streak when they visit the Miami Hurricanes (15-3, 4-1 ACC) on Tuesday, January 20, 2026 at Watsco Center. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under of 165.5 points.

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Miami (FL) vs. Florida State betting lines

• Miami (FL) moneyline odds to win: -775
• Florida State moneyline odds to win: +543
• Spread: Miami (FL) (-11.5)
• Total: 165.5

Miami (FL) statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• At home, Miami (FL) has a worse record against the spread (6-5-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (3-1-0).
• The Hurricanes have eclipsed the over/under more consistently at home, hitting the over in 10 of 11 home matchups (90.9%). In away games, they have hit the over in two of four games (50%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Miami (FL) has an identical winning percentage when playing at home compared to away from home (1.000).

Recent trends

• On offense, the Hurricanes have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 85.8 points per contest over that span compared to the 86.2 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
• Miami (FL)’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 72.2 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 69.2 points per game its opponents average this season.
• During their last 10 contests, the Hurricanes are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.4 compared to 7.1 season-long), while shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.3% compared to 33.7% season-long).

Miami (FL) betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 3-1-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
• O-U-P: 12-6-0 (Home: 10-1-0; Away: 2-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-0 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)

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Florida State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Against the spread, Florida State has performed better at home (7-4-0) than on the road (2-2-0).
• In terms of the over/under, Seminoles games have gone over less frequently at home (four of 11, 36.4%) than away (two of four, 50%).
• The Seminoles, when moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (0-3) as away (0-4) this year.

Recent trends

• The Seminoles have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, generating 79.0 points per contest, 3.3 fewer points their than season average of 82.3.
• Florida State has played worse defensively in its past 10 games, surrendering 84.0 points per contest, 2.7 more points than its season average of 81.3.
• The Seminoles are draining 0.7 fewer treys per game in their last 10 games (10.2) compared to their season average (10.9), and they are delivering the same three-point percentage over their previous 10 games compared to their season mark (31.5%).

Florida State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-9-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 4-4-0)
• O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-2-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-8 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-4)