The New Mexico Lobos (14-4, 5-2 MWC) are heavy favorites (-14.5) as they try to continue an 11-game home win streak when they host the Fresno State Bulldogs (9-9, 3-4 MWC) on Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at The Pit. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has a point total of 148.5.

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New Mexico vs. Fresno State betting lines

• New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -1493
• Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +846
• Spread: New Mexico (-14.5)
• Total: 148.5

New Mexico statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• New Mexico has covered the spread in the same percentage of home games as away games (66.7%). It has covered six times in nine games when playing at home and four times in six games on the road.
• Looking at over/unders, the Lobos hit the over less consistently at home, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in nine opportunities this season (55.6%). In away games, they have hit the over five times in six opportunities (83.3%).
• As a moneyline favorite, New Mexico has won a higher percentage of its home games (1.000) compared to road games (.667).

Recent trends

• The Lobos’ offense has been improved over their last 10 games, racking up 81.0 points per contest compared to the 80.7 they’ve averaged this season.
• New Mexico’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (65.9) is 1.3 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (67.2).
• Over their last 10 contests, the Lobos are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.2 compared to 9.6 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.5% compared to 34.5% season-long).

New Mexico betting records this season

• ATS Record: 11-6-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 4-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 14.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-4-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
• O-U-P: 12-5-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 5-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 2-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)

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Fresno State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• In 2025-26 against the spread, Fresno State has a better winning percentage at home (.727, 8-3-0 record) than away (.250, 1-3-0).
• Bulldogs games have finished above the over/under more often at home (five times out of 11) than on the road (one of four) this year.
• This season the Bulldogs are 4-2 at home when moneyline underdogs (.667 winning percentage). Away they are 0-2 (.000).

Recent trends

• The Bulldogs are scoring 68.0 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 4.5 fewer points than their average for the season (72.5).
• Fresno State is surrendering 72.4 points per game over its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 70.2 points allowed.
• The Bulldogs are sinking 7.2 treys per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.3). In addition, they own a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 games (30.1%) compared to their season average from three-point land (31.3%).

Fresno State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 10-7-0 (Home: 8-3-0; Away: 1-3-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 14.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-4-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
• O-U-P: 6-11-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 1-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-4 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-2)