The Cal Poly Mustangs (7-12, 3-4 Big West) are 8.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a three-game road losing streak when they take on the UCSB Gauchos (11-7, 4-3 Big West) on Thursday, January 22, 2026 at The Thunderdome. The game airs at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 159.

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UCSB vs. Cal Poly betting lines

• UCSB moneyline odds to win: -457
• Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +349
• Spread: UCSB (-8.5)
• Total: 159

UCSB statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Against the spread, UCSB has performed better at home, covering four times in seven home games, and zero times in six road games.
• The Gauchos have eclipsed the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in five of seven home matchups (71.4%). On the road, they have hit the over in two of six games (33.3%).
• As a moneyline favorite, UCSB has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.667) compared to road games (.500).

Recent trends

• On offense, the Gauchos have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 77.6 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 78.8 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
• UCSB has been more porous on defense as of late, allowing 75.0 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 73.5 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2025-26 season.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Gauchos are making 0.7 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.9% compared to 37.9% season-long).

UCSB betting records this season

• ATS Record: 5-11-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 0-6-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 3-2-0 (As Favorite: 3-8-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
• O-U-P: 8-8-0 (Home: 5-2-0; Away: 2-4-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-4 (Home: 4-2; Away: 2-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-2)

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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• In 2025-26 against the spread, Cal Poly has a lower winning percentage at home (.333, 2-4-0 record) than away (.600, 6-4-0).
• In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Mustangs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, two of six) than away (70%, seven of 10).
• This year the Mustangs are 2-3 at home as moneyline underdogs (.400 winning percentage). On the road they are 3-6 (.333).

Recent trends

• The Mustangs have played worse offensively in their previous 10 games, generating 79.8 points per contest, 0.8 fewer points their than season average of 80.6.
• In its previous 10 games, Cal Poly is allowing 85.1 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than its season average (85.3).
• The Mustangs are making 11.1 treys per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.3 more than their average for the season (10.8). That said, they have a lower shooting percentage from beyond the arc over their past 10 games (32.2%) compared to their season average (33.5%).

Cal Poly betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-9-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 8.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 0-2-0; As Underdog: 8-7-0)
• O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 7-3-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-10 (Home: 2-3; Away: 3-6)