The SMU Mustangs (14-5, 3-3 ACC) are at home in ACC action against the Florida State Seminoles (8-11, 1-5 ACC) on Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 4 p.m. ET. The Mustangs are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 164.5.
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SMU Cover -11.5 vs Florida State -118
SMU vs. Florida State betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -862
- Florida State moneyline odds to win: +579
- Spread: SMU (-11.5)
- Total: 164.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SMU sports a worse record against the spread when playing at home (5-7-0) than it does in road games (3-1-1).
- At home, the Mustangs eclipse the over/under 50% of the time (six of 12 games). They’ve hit the over in 40% of road games (two of five contests).
- As a moneyline favorite, SMU has an identical winning percentage at home compared to away from home (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 85.7 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.8 points fewer than the 87.5 they’ve scored this season.
- The last 10 games have seen SMU concede 1.2 more points per game (78.0) than its season-long average (76.8).
- The Mustangs are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 8.6 threes per game and shooting 39.3% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.8 makes and 36.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-9-1 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 3-1-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 4-3-1)
- O-U-P: 10-9-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-0 (Home: 11-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.7 (23rd in nation) | 42.8 (131st) | 34.7 (80th) | 30.6 (156th) | 17.8 (24th) | 11.3 (174th) |
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Florida State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Florida State has a better winning percentage at home (.636, 7-4-0 record) than on the road (.600, 3-2-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Seminoles games have finished over less often at home (four of 11, 36.4%) than away (two of five, 40%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Seminoles have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than away (1-4).
Recent trends
- The Seminoles have performed worse offensively over their past 10 games, scoring 78.8 points per contest, 2.6 fewer points their than season average of 81.4.
- While Florida State is ceding 80.4 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its past 10 games, allowing 82.1 points per contest.
- The Seminoles are sinking 9.8 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (10.6). That said, they own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (31.7%) compared to their season average from downtown (31.6%).
Florida State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 4-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-5-0; As Underdog: 5-4-0)
- O-U-P: 8-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-3 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-8 (Home: 0-3; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (313th in nation) | 45.7 (276th) | 33.2 (149th) | 35.1 (344th) | 14.8 (140th) | 12.4 (286th) |
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