The Minnesota Timberwolves (27-19) are big, 10.5-point underdogs as they look to break a five-game losing streak when they host the Golden State Warriors (26-21) on Monday, January 26, 2026 at Target Center. The matchup airs at 9:30 p.m. ET on Peacock. The over/under for the matchup is set at 227.5.
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Timberwolves Cover -10.5 vs Warriors -103
Timberwolves vs. Warriors betting lines
- Timberwolves odds to win: -439
- Warriors odds to win: +335
- Spread: Timberwolves (-10.5)
- Total: 227.5
Timberwolves Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Minnesota has a 9-14 ATS record in home games so far while putting up a record of 15-8 overall in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 3-4 record ATS in home games this year as 10.5-point favorites or more.
- At home this season, Timberwolves games have gone over the set point total seven times.
- Minnesota and its opponents have averaged a total of 232.4 points per home contest this season, 4.9 points greater than this game’s listed total.
Timberwolves Recent Trends
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread four times in their last 10 contests while putting up a 4-6 record straight-up in those games.
- The final score of the past 10 Timberwolves games has gone over the set total five times.
- The last 10 Timberwolves games averaged 235.1 total points, 7.6 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- During the last 10 games, the Timberwolves are scoring 1.2 points less per game compared to their season average.
Timberwolves Betting Records
- The Timberwolves have put together a 24-11 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 68.6% of those games).
- Minnesota has gone 10-3 when playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -439 or shorter (winning 76.9%).
- The Timberwolves have an implied moneyline win probability of 81.4% in this contest.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (fourth in NBA) | 46.2 (fifth) | 44.8 (11th) | 43.1 (eighth) | 26.6 (12th) | 13.7 (ninth) |
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Warriors Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Warriors are 9-14 in road contests with a 9-14 record against the spread on the road.
- This year, the Warriors have a 1-1 record ATS on the road as 10.5-point underdogs or more.
- The Warriors have gone over a set point total in a road game 13 times this year.
- The Warriors and their opponents have averaged a total of 229.7 points per road contest this season, 2.2 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Warriors Recent Trends
- The Warriors are 7-3 overall and 7-3 against the spread over their last 10 games.
- The final scores of the last 10 Warriors games have surpassed the set total seven times.
- The Warriors’ last 10 outings have ended with an average of 232.4 points scored. That’s 4.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- The Warriors’ per-game scoring average over their last 10 games is 123.7, 7.0 points higher than their season-long per-game average.
Warriors Betting Records
- This season, Golden State has won five out of the 12 games, or 41.7%, in which it has been the underdog.
- The Warriors have been at least a +335 moneyline underdog three times this season, but were upset in each of those games.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Warriors have a 23.0% chance to win.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (23rd in NBA) | 47.0 (18th) | 42.9 (23rd) | 44.6 (17th) | 28.8 (sixth) | 14.7 (23rd) |
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