The Illinois State Redbirds (14-7, 6-4 MVC) are 3.5-point underdogs as they look to stop a three-game road slide when they take on the Murray State Racers (16-5, 8-2 MVC) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at CFSB Center. The matchup airs at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 159.5 points.
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Murray State Cover -3.5 vs Illinois State -108
Murray State vs. Illinois State betting lines
- Murray State moneyline odds to win: -163
- Illinois State moneyline odds to win: +137
- Spread: Murray State (-3.5)
- Total: 159.5
Murray State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Murray State has performed better at home, covering seven times in 10 home games, and two times in six road games.
- The Racers have eclipsed the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (40%) than away games (66.7%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Murray State has won a higher percentage of its home games (1.000) compared to road games (.600).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Racers have been racking up 83.9 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 87.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Murray State’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (78.6) shows no change from its season-long per-game points allowed average during the 2025-26 campaign.
- The Racers are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 9.0 threes per game and shooting 33.6% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 10.2 makes and 36.0% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Murray State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 10-6-0 (As Favorite: 10-7-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-9-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-3 (Home: 9-0; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.3 (72nd in nation) | 45.5 (266th) | 35.5 (55th) | 31.5 (204th) | 15.0 (125th) | 11.5 (199th) |
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Illinois State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Illinois State has performed better at home (6-3-0) than away (2-5-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Redbirds games have gone over less frequently at home (three of nine, 33.3%) than on the road (three of seven, 42.9%).
Recent trends
- The Redbirds are putting up 74.1 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 3.7 fewer points than their average for the season (77.8).
- Illinois State has performed better defensively over its previous 10 games, ceding 66.6 points per contest, 0.4 fewer points than its season average of 67.0 allowed.
- In their last 10 games, the Redbirds are making 8.0 threes per contest, 0.5 fewer threes than their season average (8.5). They also have a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (33.6%) compared to their season average (35.1%).
Illinois State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 8-12-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-3 (Home: 8-1; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (63rd in nation) | 42.0 (84th) | 34.7 (79th) | 28.6 (55th) | 13.5 (222nd) | 10.4 (96th) |
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