The Mississippi State Bulldogs (10-10, 2-5 SEC) will attempt to stop a five-game losing streak when they visit the LSU Tigers (13-7, 1-6 SEC) on Wednesday, January 28, 2026 at Pete Maravich Assembly Center as 7.5-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 7 p.m. ET on SEC Network+. The matchup has a point total of 154.5.
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LSU Cover -7.5 vs Mississippi State -108
LSU vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- LSU moneyline odds to win: -326
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +259
- Spread: LSU (-7.5)
- Total: 154.5
LSU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- LSU has done a better job covering the spread when playing on the road (4-1-0) than it has in home games (6-5-0).
- The Tigers have hit the over on the total in a higher percentage of home games (54.5%) than road games (20%).
- As a moneyline favorite, LSU has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.875) compared to road games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Tigers have been putting up 77.9 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 83.2 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- LSU’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 76.3 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 73.5 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Tigers are trending up from deep during their last 10 outings, making 7.0 threes per game and shooting 34.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.9 makes and 33.6% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
LSU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-8-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 4-1-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 5-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-11-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 7-1; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-6 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.9 (32nd in nation) | 42.0 (84th) | 35.8 (45th) | 29.9 (110th) | 14.9 (129th) | 10.7 (124th) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Mississippi State has a lower winning percentage at home (.273, 3-8-0 record) than on the road (.500, 2-2-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (27.3%, three of 11) compared to away (75%, three of four).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (1-2).
Recent trends
- While the Bulldogs are putting up 77.7 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, producing 76.6 points per contest.
- Mississippi State is ceding 78.9 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 0.4 more points than it is allowing for the season (78.5).
- The Bulldogs are making 1.1 fewer threes per game over their past 10 games (6.4) compared to their season average (7.5), and they are putting up a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (26.9%) compared to their season mark (29.8%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-14-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 1-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 1-5-0)
- O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.0 (254th in nation) | 42.6 (111th) | 37.5 (19th) | 35.6 (351st) | 12.4 (298th) | 11.1 (157th) |
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