Citadel vs. VMI betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The VMI Keydets (6-15, 1-7 SoCon) will attempt to stop a six-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Citadel Bulldogs (6-15, 3-5 SoCon) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at McAlister Field House as just 2.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.

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Citadel Cover -2.5 vs VMI -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Citadel vs. VMI betting lines

  • Citadel moneyline odds to win: -142
  • VMI moneyline odds to win: +119
  • Spread: Citadel (-2.5)
  • Total: 142.5

Citadel statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Citadel owns a worse record against the spread (3-4-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-5-0).
  • At home, the Bulldogs eclipse the total 57.1% of the time (four of seven games). They’ve hit the over in 50% of away games (five of 10 contests).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Bulldogs have been racking up 69.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 70.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Citadel has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 80.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 77.6 it has surrendered this season.
  • The Bulldogs’ past 10 outings have seen them make 9.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 9.4 makes and 32.9%.

Citadel betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 8-10-0 (Home: 3-4-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-9-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 0-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 2-4; Away: 1-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.2 (320th in nation) 48.0 (343rd) 29.9 (296th) 31.2 (193rd) 12.7 (280th) 10.4 (99th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Citadel vs. VMI? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

VMI statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, VMI has had better results on the road (4-5-0) than at home (2-5-0).
  • In 2025-26, a higher percentage of the Keydets’ games have finished above the over/under at home (57.1%, four of seven) compared to on the road (44.4%, four of nine).
  • This season the Keydets are 2-4 at home as moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). Away they are 0-7 (.000).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Keydets are compiling 69.9 points per game, compared to their season average of 73.2.
  • Over its previous 10 games, VMI is allowing 79.8 points per contest, 2.6 more points than its season average (77.2).
  • The Keydets are sinking 10.2 threes per game in their last 10 games, which is 0.7 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (10.9). That said, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.4%) compared to their season average from downtown (32.9%).

VMI betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 6-12-0 (Home: 2-5-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 5-9-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 5-10-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-10-0 (Home: 4-3-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-13 (Home: 2-4; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
40.2 (349th in nation) 44.7 (228th) 31.3 (250th) 36.8 (359th) 12.4 (299th) 9.8 (49th)
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