The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (11-8, 5-3 CUSA) are slight underdogs (by 1.5 points) to extend a five-game home winning streak when they host the Liberty Flames (17-3, 9-0 CUSA) on Thursday, January 29, 2026 at 7 p.m. ET. The over/under is set at 135.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.87
Liberty Cover -1.5 vs Middle Tennessee -106
Liberty vs. Middle Tennessee betting lines
- Liberty moneyline odds to win: -122
- Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: +102
- Spread: Liberty (-1.5)
- Total: 135.5
Liberty statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Liberty has played worse when playing at home, covering five times in eight home games, and four times in six road games.
- In home games, the Flames exceed the over/under 62.5% of the time (five of eight games). They’ve hit the over in 33.3% of games on the road (two of six contests).
- In seven home games as a moneyline favorite, Liberty has seven wins (1.000). It owns an identical winning percentage (4-0 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Flames have been racking up 77.0 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 79.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Liberty has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 68.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 67.2 it has conceded this year.
- The Flames are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 9.6 threes per game and shooting 40.5% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.7 makes and 40.8% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
Liberty betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 8-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 9-8-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 7-0; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.1 (second in nation) | 42.9 (131st) | 27.7 (348th) | 30.8 (170th) | 17.6 (27th) | 8.2 (third) |
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Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, Middle Tennessee is 2-4-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-3-0 ATS (.571).
- Blue Raiders games have gone above the over/under 33.3% of the time at home (two of six), and 28.6% of the time away (two of seven).
- The Blue Raiders, as moneyline underdogs, have won the same percentage of games at home (1-1) as on the road (2-2) this season.
Recent trends
- The Blue Raiders are posting 70.3 points per contest in their previous 10 games, which is 4.4 fewer points than their average for the season (74.7).
- Middle Tennessee has performed better defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 67.1 points per contest, 3.0 fewer points than its season average of 70.1 allowed.
- The Blue Raiders are sinking 9.9 three-pointers per game with a 37.5% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 9.8 and 35.6%.
Middle Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-9-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-6-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 6-10-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (248th in nation) | 42.3 (93rd) | 33.1 (148th) | 32.1 (243rd) | 14.2 (171st) | 10.4 (99th) |
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