The No. 20 Louisville Cardinals (14-6, 4-4 ACC) are at home in ACC action against the SMU Mustangs (15-5, 4-3 ACC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at 2 p.m. ET. The Cardinals are favored by 9.5 points in the game. The matchup has an over/under of 161.5.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $37.54
Louisville Cover -9.5 vs SMU -114
Louisville vs. SMU betting lines
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: -541
- SMU moneyline odds to win: +397
- Spread: Louisville (-9.5)
- Total: 161.5
Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Louisville has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered seven times in 12 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered two times in six opportunities in road games.
- The Cardinals have exceeded the over/under in the same percentage of home games as road games (33.3%).
- Louisville has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 9-1 (.900). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-2 (.500).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Cardinals have been scoring 77.7 points per game, an average that’s much lower than the 86.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Louisville’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 72.5 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 70.3 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Cardinals’ last 10 contests have seen them make 10.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 32.6% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down compared to their 2025-26 averages of 11.9 makes and 35.2%.
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 9.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 11-6-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-13-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 2-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-3 (Home: 9-1; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-1; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (129th in nation) | 39.9 (24th) | 38.1 (14th) | 31.0 (182nd) | 17.5 (28th) | 11.4 (192nd) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Louisville vs. SMU? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, SMU has had better results on the road (3-1-1) than at home (5-8-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Mustangs games have finished over six of 13 times at home (46.2%), and two of five away (40%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (1-3).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs are scoring 84.7 points per game over their last 10 games, which is 2.6 fewer points than their average for the season (87.3).
- SMU has played worse defensively over its previous 10 games, ceding 78.0 points per contest, 1.0 more point than its season average of 77.0.
- The Mustangs are sinking 9.1 threes per contest with a 40.1% three-point percentage in their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.9 and 36.6%.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-10-1 (Home: 5-8-0; Away: 3-1-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 9.5+: 1-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-7-0; As Underdog: 4-3-1)
- O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-0 (Home: 12-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.4 (26th in nation) | 42.8 (122nd) | 34.8 (75th) | 31.0 (182nd) | 17.8 (22nd) | 11.1 (161st) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
