Indiana State vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 31

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Indiana State Sycamores (9-13, 2-9 MVC) will try to break a four-game losing streak when they host the Valparaiso Beacons (10-11, 4-6 MVC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at Hulman Center as only 2.5-point favorites. The game airs at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total in the matchup is set at 145.5.

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Indiana State Cover -2.5 vs Valparaiso -105

Bet $20, Payout $39.05

Indiana State vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Indiana State moneyline odds to win: -136
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: +114
  • Spread: Indiana State (-2.5)
  • Total: 145.5

Indiana State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Indiana State sports a worse record against the spread in home games (5-3-0) than it does in away games (9-2-0).
  • In terms of over/unders, the Sycamores hit the over more often at home, as they’ve gone over the total three times in eight opportunities this season (37.5%). In road games, they have hit the over four times in 11 opportunities (36.4%).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Sycamores have been racking up 73.2 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.5 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Indiana State has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 78.7 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 75.2 it has conceded this season.
  • The Sycamores’ 8.1 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are less than the 8.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 32.3% compared to their season-long percentage of 31.1% from deep.

Indiana State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-6-0 (Home: 5-3-0; Away: 9-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 3-3-0; As Underdog: 11-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 8-12-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 4-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-3 (Home: 3-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.5 (111th in nation) 44.4 (205th) 31.6 (230th) 33.0 (291st) 17.7 (24th) 13.2 (330th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Indiana State vs. Valparaiso? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Valparaiso’s winning percentage against the spread, both home and away, is .750. It is 9-3-0 ATS on its home court and 6-2-0 on the road.
  • Beacons games have finished above the over/under 33.3% of the time at home (four of 12), and 75% of the time away (six of eight).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Beacons have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-3) than on the road (1-7).

Recent trends

  • The Beacons have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, compiling 69.3 points per contest, 1.8 fewer points their than season average of 71.1.
  • Over its past 10 games, Valparaiso is surrendering 70.3 points per contest, 0.2 more points than its season average (70.1).
  • The Beacons are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per contest in their last 10 games (6.8) compared to their season average (7.1), but they are producing a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (35.1%) compared to their season mark (32.3%).

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-5-0 (Home: 9-3-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 8-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-2-0; As Underdog: 10-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 6-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-1 (Home: 6-1; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 2-3; Away: 1-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.1 (337th in nation) 43.3 (153rd) 32.5 (185th) 31.9 (223rd) 11.5 (333rd) 10.1 (72nd)
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