Belmont vs. Murray State betting: College basketball preview for Jan. 31

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Murray State Racers (16-6, 8-3 MVC) will try to break a three-game losing streak when they hit the road to take on the Belmont Bruins (19-3, 9-2 MVC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at Curb Event Center Arena as 3.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The over/under in the matchup is set at 166.5.

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Spread

Belmont Cover -3.5 vs Murray State -110

Bet $20, Payout $38.18

Belmont vs. Murray State betting lines

  • Belmont moneyline odds to win: -163
  • Murray State moneyline odds to win: +137
  • Spread: Belmont (-3.5)
  • Total: 166.5

Belmont statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Belmont has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered three times in nine games at home, and it has covered six times in 10 games on the road.
  • The Bruins have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (55.6%) than road games (60%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Belmont has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.778) compared to road games (.875).

Recent trends

  • The Bruins have been racking up 78.4 points per contest in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 82.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
  • Belmont’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (71.4) is 1.3 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.1).
  • Over their past 10 contests, the Bruins are making 0.8 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.2 compared to 10.0 season-long), while shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.8% compared to 39.2% season-long).

Belmont betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-10-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 7-10-0 (As Favorite: 9-10-0; As Underdog: 2-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-10-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 7-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
51.3 (seventh in nation) 38.5 (eighth) 33.9 (104th) 29.9 (111th) 17.8 (22nd) 13.0 (320th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Belmont vs. Murray State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Murray State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Murray State has performed better against the spread at home (7-4-0) than away (2-4-0) this year.
  • In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Racers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (36.4%, four of 11) than away (66.7%, four of six).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Racers are scoring 82.3 points per contest, 4.0 fewer points than their season average (86.3).
  • Over its previous 10 games, Murray State is surrendering 78.4 points per game, 0.2 more points than its season average (78.2).
  • In their past 10 games, the Racers are making 8.5 three-pointers per contest, 1.4 fewer threes than their season average (9.9). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (32.2%) compared to their season average (35.4%).

Murray State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-8-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 4-2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-1; Away: 3-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.9 (89th in nation) 45.7 (277th) 35.3 (52nd) 31.7 (216th) 14.7 (138th) 11.4 (199th)
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