The Evansville Purple Aces (5-16, 1-9 MVC) are heavy, 10.5-point underdogs as they look to turn around a three-game losing streak when they visit the Northern Iowa Panthers (13-9, 5-6 MVC) on Saturday, January 31, 2026 at McLeod Center. The contest airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 128.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.35
Northern Iowa Cover -10.5 vs Evansville -109
Northern Iowa vs. Evansville betting lines
- Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -625
- Evansville moneyline odds to win: +454
- Spread: Northern Iowa (-10.5)
- Total: 128.5
Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Northern Iowa has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered four times in 11 games when playing at home, and it has covered four times in seven games when playing on the road.
- The Panthers have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (45.5%) than road tilts (28.6%).
- In home games, Northern Iowa has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 7-3 (.700). In away games, it is 2-2 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Panthers have had a tough time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 61.9 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 67.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- Northern Iowa’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 63.8 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 60.7 points per game its opponents average on the season.
- Over their past 10 contests, the Panthers are making 1.5 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (5.9 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (28.9% compared to 33.1% season-long).
Northern Iowa betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-11-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 0-4-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-13-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-6 (Home: 7-3; Away: 2-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.0 (193rd in nation) | 40.0 (27th) | 29.2 (319th) | 32.4 (258th) | 14.2 (173rd) | 9.0 (15th) |
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Evansville statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Evansville is 4-4-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 5-3-0 ATS (.625).
- Looking at the over/under, Purple Aces games have finished over 50% of the time this season, both at home (four of eight) and on the road (four of eight).
- The Purple Aces, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-5) than on the road (1-7) this season.
Recent trends
- While the Purple Aces are scoring 67.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that in their last 10 games, producing 66.4 points per contest.
- Evansville is giving up 76.0 points per game in its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 74.2 points allowed.
- The Purple Aces are draining 7.4 treys per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.1 more than their average for the season (7.3). Likewise, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.2%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (31.7%).
Evansville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-9-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 9-7-0)
- O-U-P: 9-10-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-14 (Home: 0-5; Away: 1-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.7 (308th in nation) | 44.4 (205th) | 29.7 (304th) | 31.5 (202nd) | 13.6 (217th) | 13.2 (330th) |
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