The No. 14 North Carolina Tar Heels (17-4, 5-3 ACC) will look to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Syracuse Orange (13-9, 4-5 ACC) on Monday, February 2, 2026 at Dean E. Smith Center as big, 11.5-point favorites. The game airs at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN. The matchup has an over/under of 158.5 points.
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North Carolina Cover -11.5 vs Syracuse -106
North Carolina vs. Syracuse betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -725
- Syracuse moneyline odds to win: +511
- Spread: North Carolina (-11.5)
- Total: 158.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, North Carolina has fared better when playing at home, covering seven times in 12 home games, and three times in six road games.
- The Tar Heels have gone over the total in a lower percentage of games at home (41.7%) than away games (83.3%).
- As a moneyline favorite, North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games at home (1.000) compared to away games (.333).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Tar Heels have been scoring 85.4 points per contest, an average that’s slightly higher than the 83.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- North Carolina has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 77.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 70.3 it has surrendered this year.
- During their past 10 contests, the Tar Heels are making 0.6 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.4 compared to 8.8 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (35.5% compared to 34.1% season-long).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-10-0 (Home: 7-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 2-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-10-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 5-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-2 (Home: 11-0; Away: 1-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 (44th in nation) | 40.1 (29th) | 36.7 (29th) | 29.4 (84th) | 17.2 (36th) | 9.4 (33rd) |
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Syracuse statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Syracuse has had better results on the road (2-2-0) than at home (6-8-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Orange games have finished over less frequently at home (six of 14, 42.9%) than away (four of four, 100%).
- The Orange’s winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and on the road it is .500 (1-1).
Recent trends
- The Orange are posting 77.4 points per contest in their last 10 games, which is 1.6 more than their average for the season (75.8).
- Syracuse is ceding 74.4 points per game over its past 10 games, which is 4.4 more points than it is allowing for the season (70.0).
- In their past 10 games, the Orange are draining 8.2 threes per contest, 1.1 more than their season average (7.1). They also have a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (38.3%) compared to their season average (33.7%).
Syracuse betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-12-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
- O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 4-0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 9-2; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (76th in nation) | 42.2 (88th) | 31.8 (211th) | 32.9 (284th) | 13.4 (231st) | 10.9 (148th) |
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