The New Mexico Lobos (18-4, 9-2 MWC) bring a four-game winning streak into a home matchup with the Utah State Aggies (18-3, 9-2 MWC), winners of three straight. The Aggies are underdogs by only 1.5 points in the contest, which begins at 11 p.m. ET (on Fox Sports 1) on Wednesday, February 4, 2026. The point total is set at 156.5 for the matchup.
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New Mexico Cover -1.5 vs Utah State -111
New Mexico vs. Utah State betting lines
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -123
- Utah State moneyline odds to win: +102
- Spread: New Mexico (-1.5)
- Total: 156.5
New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- New Mexico has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered six times in 11 games when playing at home, and it has covered five times in eight games when playing on the road.
- The Lobos have gone over the over/under in seven of 11 home games (63.6%). They’ve done better in road games, eclipsing the total in six of eight matchups (75%).
- As a moneyline favorite, New Mexico has won 10 of 10 games when playing at home, good for a 1.000 winning percentage. It has won four of five games away from home (.800) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- On offense, the Lobos have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 81.0 points per contest over that stretch compared to the 81.5 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- New Mexico’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (67.4) is 0.6 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.0).
- The Lobos are trending up from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 10.0 threes per game and shooting 37.9% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 9.8 makes and 35.4% from distance in the 2025-26 season.
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-9-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 8-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 4-2-0)
- O-U-P: 15-6-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.8 (150th in nation) | 40.3 (30th) | 34.3 (86th) | 32.0 (232nd) | 15.1 (118th) | 10.0 (63rd) |
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Utah State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Utah State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .333 (3-6-0). Away, it is .429 (3-4-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Aggies games have finished over more frequently at home (five of nine, 55.6%) than away (three of seven, 42.9%).
Recent trends
- The Aggies are averaging 81.1 points per game over their past 10 games, which is 2.5 fewer points than their average for the season (83.6).
- While Utah State is surrendering 67.9 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 69.2 points per contest.
- The Aggies are sinking 0.4 fewer three-pointers per contest over their previous 10 games (8.0) compared to their season average (8.4), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (33.2%) compared to their season mark (36.0%).
Utah State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-11-0; As Underdog: 0-1-0)
- O-U-P: 11-9-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 17-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.8 (13th in nation) | 41.1 (47th) | 32.1 (197th) | 28.0 (36th) | 18.1 (18th) | 10.8 (139th) |
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