The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-11, 3-6 SEC) are 6.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a three-game home losing streak when they host the No. 21 Arkansas Razorbacks (16-6, 6-3 SEC) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at Humphrey Coliseum. The game airs at 12 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The over/under for the matchup is 163.5.
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Arkansas Cover -6.5 vs Mississippi State -108
Arkansas vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Arkansas moneyline odds to win: -282
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +227
- Spread: Arkansas (-6.5)
- Total: 163.5
Arkansas statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home, Arkansas sports a better record against the spread (9-4-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (2-3-0).
- The Razorbacks have exceeded the over/under in nine of 13 home games (69.2%), compared to one of five road games (20%).
- Arkansas has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 10-1 (.909). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 2-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Razorbacks have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 87.8 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.9 points fewer than the 88.7 they’ve scored this year.
- The last 10 games have seen Arkansas give up 3.2 more points per game (80.8) than its season-long average (77.6).
- The Razorbacks’ last 10 contests have seen them make 7.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.2% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are less than their 2025-26 averages of 8.5 makes and 37.4%.
Arkansas betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-8-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 11-4-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 12-10-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 1-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 10-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.8 (21st in nation) | 44.2 (191st) | 32.4 (176th) | 31.1 (189th) | 17.2 (36th) | 9.2 (22nd) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This year, Mississippi State is 3-8-0 at home against the spread (.273 winning percentage). On the road, it is 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (27.3%, three of 11) than on the road (66.7%, four of six).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (2-3).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bulldogs are scoring 76.7 points per game, 1.1 fewer points than their season average (77.8).
- While Mississippi State is allowing 78.2 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 79.0 points per contest.
- The Bulldogs are draining 0.7 fewer threes per game over their past 10 games (7.1) compared to their season average (7.8), and they are putting up a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (28.9%) compared to their season mark (30.9%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-14-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 3-5-0)
- O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-6 (Home: 0-2; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (251st in nation) | 42.6 (96th) | 37.3 (20th) | 34.8 (338th) | 12.3 (301st) | 11.3 (194th) |
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