The Nevada Wolf Pack (16-7, 8-4 MWC) host the Fresno State Bulldogs (11-11, 5-6 MWC) after winning four home games in a row. The Wolf Pack are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the matchup, which starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, February 7, 2026. The point total in the matchup is set at 146.5.
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Nevada Cover -11.5 vs Fresno State -112
Nevada vs. Fresno State betting lines
- Nevada moneyline odds to win: -862
- Fresno State moneyline odds to win: +576
- Spread: Nevada (-11.5)
- Total: 146.5
Nevada statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Nevada has played worse at home, covering eight times in 13 home games, and five times in eight road games.
- The Wolf Pack have gone over the over/under in a higher percentage of games at home (61.5%) than away games (50%).
- Nevada has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 10-1 (.909). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 3-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Wolf Pack have been scoring 77.1 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 77.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2025-26 season.
- Nevada’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 71.9 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 71.7 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Wolf Pack’s last 10 contests have seen them make 8.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 42.1% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2025-26 averages of 7.2 makes and 39.4%.
Nevada betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 1-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
- O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-1 (Home: 10-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.2 (248th in nation) | 43.5 (154th) | 32.0 (200th) | 30.3 (136th) | 14.6 (142nd) | 8.8 (10th) |
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Fresno State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Fresno State’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .692 (9-4-0). On the road, it is .500 (3-3-0).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (46.2%, six of 13) compared to on the road (50%, three of six).
- The Bulldogs, as moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (5-3) than away (0-3) this season.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have played worse offensively in their past 10 games, scoring 70.0 points per contest, 3.3 fewer points their than season average of 73.3.
- Over its past 10 games, Fresno State is giving up 70.2 points per contest, compared to its season average of 71.5 points allowed.
- The Bulldogs are sinking 7.4 threes per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.5). That said, they sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (32.9%) compared to their season average from three-point land (32.2%).
Fresno State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-8-0 (Home: 9-4-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 5-4-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
- O-U-P: 9-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 2-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-7 (Home: 5-3; Away: 0-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.4 (234th in nation) | 43.7 (161st) | 31.4 (232nd) | 32.0 (230th) | 13.3 (233rd) | 13.0 (327th) |

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