The Arkansas State Red Wolves (14-10) are favored by 2.5 points against the Bowling Green Falcons (14-9) on Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 3 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under set at 154.5 points.
Check out all the Latest NCAA Basketball Betting Previews!
Spread
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Arkansas State Cover -2.5 vs Bowling Green -112
Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green betting lines
- Arkansas State moneyline odds to win: -149
- Bowling Green moneyline odds to win: +125
- Spread: Arkansas State (-2.5)
- Total: 154.5
Arkansas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Arkansas State has the same winning percentage against the spread in home games (.500) as it does in road games.
- At home, the Red Wolves eclipse the over/under 25% of the time (two of eight games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, going over the total in 64.3% of games (nine of 14).
- Arkansas State has won a higher percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-3 (.625). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 5-4 (.556).
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Red Wolves have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 77.2 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 81.0 they’ve racked up over the course of this year.
- Arkansas State’s defense has been more porous as of late, as the team has allowed 78.5 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 78.2 points per game its opponents average this season.
- The Red Wolves’ 9.3 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are more than the 8.9 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of shots made, 32.2% compared to their season-long percentage of 32.3% from beyond the arc.
Arkansas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 4-4-0; Away: 7-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 6-7-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 2-6-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-7 (Home: 5-3; Away: 5-4)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (247th in nation) | 45.5 (263rd) | 37.0 (25th) | 29.8 (109th) | 15.0 (119th) | 13.9 (351st) |
Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Arkansas State vs. Bowling Green? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.
Bowling Green statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Bowling Green has had better results on the road (4-4-0) than at home (3-7-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Falcons games have finished over four of 10 times at home (40%), and three of eight away (37.5%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Falcons have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-2) than away (1-2).
Recent trends
- Over their last 10 games, the Falcons are putting up 78.7 points per game, compared to their season average of 84.3.
- While Bowling Green is allowing 70.1 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 77.5 points per contest.
- The Falcons are sinking 6.6 treys per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.6 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.2). That said, they have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (35.9%) compared to their season average from downtown (35.1%).
Bowling Green betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 6-9-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 7-13-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 3-2)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.1 (28th in nation) | 43.3 (147th) | 32.3 (184th) | 29.4 (84th) | 15.0 (119th) | 11.2 (183rd) |
Author Profile
BetDecider Team
The BetDecider team brings you the most current sports betting content, with expert insights and tips. Our aim is that you can make an informed betting decision, including best odds and exclusive sportsbook offers, to maximize your betting experience.
