Illinois State vs. Evansville betting: College basketball preview for Feb. 9

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Evansville Purple Aces (5-19, 1-12 MVC) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they attempt to stop a six-game home losing streak when they take on the Illinois State Redbirds (16-8, 8-5 MVC) on Monday, February 9, 2026 at Ford Center. The matchup airs at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is 138.

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Illinois State Cover -10.5 vs Evansville -112

Bet $20, Payout $37.86

Illinois State vs. Evansville betting lines

  • Illinois State moneyline odds to win: -667
  • Evansville moneyline odds to win: +458
  • Spread: Illinois State (-10.5)
  • Total: 138

Illinois State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Illinois State has done a better job covering the spread when playing at home (7-4-0) than it has in road tilts (3-5-0).
  • The Redbirds have gone over the total less consistently at home, hitting the over in four of 11 home matchups (36.4%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of eight games (37.5%).
  • Illinois State has performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, sporting a home record of 9-2, compared to going 2-2 in road games.

Recent trends

  • The Redbirds have seen a decrease in scoring lately, racking up 71.4 points per game in their last 10 outings, 5.3 points fewer than the 76.7 they’ve scored this year.
  • Illinois State’s defense has been less stingy as of late, as the team has allowed 67.2 points per game during its past 10 compared to the 66.8 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Redbirds are making 0.7 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.8 compared to 8.5 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (33.2% compared to 35.3% season-long).

Illinois State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-10-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 4-2-0 (As Favorite: 10-7-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-14-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 3-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-4 (Home: 9-2; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (74th in nation) 41.8 (66th) 34.7 (65th) 29.3 (76th) 13.5 (217th) 10.5 (115th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Illinois State vs. Evansville? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Evansville statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This year, Evansville is 4-5-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). Away, it is 6-4-0 ATS (.600).
  • Purple Aces games have finished above the over/under 55.6% of the time at home (five of nine), and 40% of the time away (four of 10).
  • When moneyline underdogs, the Purple Aces have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-6) than on the road (1-9).

Recent trends

  • Over their past 10 games, the Purple Aces are compiling 63.4 points per contest, compared to their season average of 66.8.
  • While Evansville is surrendering 74.3 points per game in 2025-26, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 76.0 points per contest.
  • In their previous 10 games, the Purple Aces are sinking 7.0 three-pointers per game, 0.3 fewer threes than their season average (7.3). They have a higher three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (32.0%) compared to their season average (31.7%).

Evansville betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 10-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 5-4-0; Away: 4-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-17 (Home: 0-6; Away: 1-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.4 (312th in nation) 45.1 (245th) 29.0 (322nd) 32.0 (232nd) 13.3 (233rd) 12.8 (317th)
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