SWAC opponents square off when the Southern Jaguars (10-13, 6-4 SWAC) host the Alabama State Hornets (7-16, 4-6 SWAC) at F.G. Clark Activity Center, starting at 9 p.m. ET on Monday, February 9, 2026. The Jaguars are 6.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s point total is set at 149.5.

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Southern vs. Alabama State betting lines

• Southern moneyline odds to win: -321
• Alabama State moneyline odds to win: +249
• Spread: Southern (-6.5)
• Total: 149.5

Southern statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Southern sports the same winning percentage against the spread at home (.400) as it does in away games.
• The Jaguars have gone over the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in four of five home matchups (80%). On the road, they have hit the over in nine of 15 games (60%).
• As a moneyline favorite, Southern has picked up the win in three of five games when playing at home, good for a .600 winning percentage. It has won two of four games on the road (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• On the offensive side of the ball, the Jaguars have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 78.0 points per contest over that span compared to the 80.8 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
• Southern’s defense has been more stingy as of late, as the team has given up 73.6 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 79.0 points per game its opponents are averaging on the season.
• The Jaguars are trending down from beyond the arc during their last 10 outings, making 5.8 threes per game and shooting 30.2% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 6.9 makes and 33.4% from distance in the 2025-26 season.

Southern betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-12-0 (Home: 2-3-0; Away: 6-9-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 2-4-0 (As Favorite: 2-7-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
• O-U-P: 13-7-0 (Home: 4-1-0; Away: 9-6-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-4 (Home: 3-2; Away: 2-2)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-9)

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Alabama State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• This year, Alabama State is 2-2-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 6-9-0 ATS (.400).
• Hornets games have finished above the over/under 25% of the time at home (one of four), and 53.3% of the time away (eight of 15).
• The Hornets, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (2-12) this year.

Recent trends

• The Hornets have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 72.1 points per contest, 1.2 fewer points their than season average of 73.3.
• Alabama State is giving up 74.1 points per game in its past 10 games, which is 5.4 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (79.5).
• The Hornets are sinking 0.7 fewer treys per game in their last 10 games (6.9) compared to their season average (7.6), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (30.3%) compared to their season mark (32.8%).

Alabama State betting records this season

• ATS Record: 9-13-0 (Home: 2-2-0; Away: 6-9-0)
• ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 3-2-0; As Underdog: 6-11-0)
• O-U-P: 10-12-0 (Home: 1-3-0; Away: 8-7-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 3-2 (Home: 2-1; Away: 1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-14 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-12)