The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-13, 2-9 ACC) are heavy underdogs (+10.5) as they attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they visit the SMU Mustangs (16-7, 5-5 ACC) at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at Moody Coliseum. The matchup airs on ACC Network. The point total is set at 154.5 for the matchup.
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Bet $20, Payout $36.26
SMU Cover -10.5 vs Notre Dame -123
SMU vs. Notre Dame betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -769
- Notre Dame moneyline odds to win: +515
- Spread: SMU (-10.5)
- Total: 154.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SMU has done a better job covering the spread in road games (4-2-1) than it has in home games (6-8-0).
- The Mustangs have exceeded the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 14 home matchups (50%). On the road, they have hit the over in four of seven games (57.1%).
- SMU, as a moneyline favorite, has the same winning percentage in home games (12-0 record) and away from home (2-0 record).
Recent trends
- On offense, the Mustangs have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 80.4 points per contest over that span as opposed to the 86.4 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
- SMU’s defense has been more porous lately, as the team has allowed 78.5 points per game over its past 10 compared to the 77.3 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
- The Mustangs’ past 10 contests have seen them make 8.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 41.5% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up compared to their 2025-26 averages of 8.1 makes and 37.4%.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-1 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 4-2-1)
- ATS Record When Favored by 10.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 5-4-1)
- O-U-P: 13-10-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 4-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-0 (Home: 12-0; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (23rd in nation) | 42.9 (113th) | 34.6 (69th) | 31.0 (178th) | 17.4 (30th) | 11.0 (163rd) |
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Notre Dame statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2025-26 against the spread, Notre Dame has a lower winning percentage at home (.462, 6-7-0 record) than on the road (.625, 5-3-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Fighting Irish games have gone over more frequently at home (10 of 13, 76.9%) than on the road (five of eight, 62.5%).
- The Fighting Irish’s winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .250, both at home (1-3) and on the road (2-6).
Recent trends
- While the Fighting Irish are scoring 73.8 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their previous 10 games, amassing 72.7 points per contest.
- In its previous 10 games, Notre Dame is surrendering 81.7 points per contest, 8.9 more points than its season average (72.8).
- The Fighting Irish are draining 8.5 threes per game over their last 10 games, which is 0.1 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.6). Additionally, they have a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.1%) compared to their season average from downtown (35.3%).
Notre Dame betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 10.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-6-0; As Underdog: 8-6-0)
- O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 10-3-0; Away: 5-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 7-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 (217th in nation) | 43.0 (118th) | 34.2 (87th) | 29.3 (78th) | 12.1 (307th) | 10.9 (152nd) |
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