The Mississippi State Bulldogs (11-12, 3-7 SEC) are 7.5-point underdogs as they attempt to stop a four-game home losing streak when they square off against the Tennessee Volunteers (16-7, 6-4 SEC) on Wednesday, February 11, 2026 at Humphrey Coliseum. The contest airs at 9 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The point total for the matchup is set at 147.5.
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Tennessee Cover -7.5 vs Mississippi State -113
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -383
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +292
- Spread: Tennessee (-7.5)
- Total: 147.5
Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Tennessee has performed better at home, covering six times in 13 home games, and one time in six road games.
- When it comes to point totals, the Volunteers hit the over more often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total eight times in 13 opportunities this season (61.5%). On the road, they have hit the over three times in six opportunities (50%).
- Tennessee has played better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 12-1, compared to going 1-1 in away games.
Recent trends
- The Volunteers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, scoring 78.9 points a contest compared to the 81.7 they’ve averaged this season.
- The past 10 games have seen Tennessee give up 7.9 more points per game (77.7) than its season-long average (69.8).
- The Volunteers’ 6.7 made three-pointers per-game average over their past 10 games are less than the 7.2 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 36.2% compared to their season-long percentage of 35.2% from beyond the arc.
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-14-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 1-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 3-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-4 (Home: 12-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.1 (74th in nation) | 40.4 (31st) | 40.2 (third) | 26.0 (fifth) | 17.4 (31st) | 12.3 (286th) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- This season, Mississippi State is 3-9-0 at home against the spread (.250 winning percentage). Away, it is 4-2-0 ATS (.667).
- In 2025-26 a lower percentage of the Bulldogs’ games have finished above the over/under at home (25%, three of 12) than away (66.7%, four of six).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Bulldogs have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-3) than on the road (2-3).
Recent trends
- While the Bulldogs are scoring 77.4 points per game in 2025-26, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, amassing 74.1 points per contest.
- Mississippi State has fared worse defensively in its last 10 games, giving up 82.2 points per contest, 3.6 more points than its season average of 78.6.
- The Bulldogs are making 6.4 three-pointers per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.6). Additionally, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (27.1%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (30.6%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-15-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 2-3-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 3-6-0)
- O-U-P: 11-12-0 (Home: 3-9-0; Away: 4-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-5 (Home: 7-2; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-7 (Home: 0-3; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 (239th in nation) | 43.1 (120th) | 37.0 (22nd) | 34.7 (338th) | 12.4 (294th) | 11.3 (200th) |
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