The Texas State Bobcats (15-11, 7-6 Sun Belt) host the Troy Trojans (17-8, 9-3 Sun Belt) after winning six home games in a row. The Trojans are favored by 4.5 points in the contest, which starts at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, February 11, 2026. The matchup has an over/under of 140.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Troy Cover -4.5 vs Texas State -113
Troy vs. Texas State betting lines
- Troy moneyline odds to win: -210
- Texas State moneyline odds to win: +169
- Spread: Troy (-4.5)
- Total: 140.5
Troy statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home, Troy sports the same winning percentage against the spread as it does in away games (.667).
- In terms of over/unders, the Trojans hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total four times in nine opportunities this season (44.4%). In road games, they have hit the over eight times in 12 opportunities (66.7%).
- Troy has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-3 (.625). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 4-1 (.800).
Recent trends
- The Trojans have seen a decrease in scoring recently, racking up 78.1 points per game in their last 10 contests, 5.0 points fewer than the 83.1 they’ve scored this season.
- Troy’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (72.1) is 2.8 fewer points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (74.9).
- The Trojans’ 9.8 made three-pointers per-game average during their past 10 games are less than the 10.0 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 35.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 35.0% from beyond the arc.
Troy betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-9-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 8-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 6-2-0)
- O-U-P: 12-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 8-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 5-3; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-3 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.1 (185th in nation) | 43.5 (154th) | 35.7 (42nd) | 32.4 (252nd) | 16.6 (47th) | 11.2 (188th) |
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Texas State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Texas State has performed better at home (9-3-0) than away (4-6-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Bobcats games have gone over five of 12 times at home (41.7%), and seven of 10 on the road (70%).
- When moneyline underdogs, the Bobcats have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than on the road (1-8).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Bobcats are scoring 71.9 points per contest, 1.8 fewer points than their season average (73.7).
- Texas State has played better defensively in its last 10 games, allowing 70.2 points per contest, 0.5 fewer points than its season average of 70.7 allowed.
- Over their last 10 games, the Bobcats are draining 4.7 treys per contest, 0.2 fewer threes than their season average (4.9). They also sport a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.5%) compared to their season average (32.8%).
Texas State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-11-0 (Home: 9-3-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-4-0; As Underdog: 5-7-0)
- O-U-P: 13-11-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 10-0; Away: 1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-10 (Home: 1-1; Away: 1-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.9 (142nd in nation) | 43.9 (169th) | 32.7 (159th) | 27.6 (24th) | 13.0 (255th) | 12.2 (279th) |
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